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May 2, 2014

Raising Aces

Too Early to Worry?

by Doug Thorburn


Last week we studied a trio of pitchers who have enjoyed breakouts in performance over the first month of the season in order to distinguish legitimate improvement from potential mirage. This week, we examine the other side of the coin. There are a handful of pitchers who entered the season with high expectations yet have been knocked around the yard this April, and the most perplexing of these players are those whose peripheral stats are in line with last season but whose batted-ball profiles have taken a dive. It might be tempting to dismiss any vulnerability due to the vagaries of balls in play over small samples, but in some cases there are functional underpinnings to suggest that something has gone awry.

Homer Bailey, Reds

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7 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

johnorpheus

What about Shelby Miller? I know you were high on him coming into the season. He looks terrible.

May 02, 2014 07:54 AM
rating: 0
 
Gumby

I second that. Interested in BP's take.

May 02, 2014 12:03 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Doug Thorburn
BP staff

Shelbias T. just missed the cut, and I wanted to keep this article from running 3000 words. But he is definitely on the docket.

Thanks for the suggestion.

May 02, 2014 15:02 PM
 
DragonAsh

Outstanding work; looking forward to seeing more like this (cough cough Bumgarner cough cough).

May 02, 2014 08:00 AM
rating: 1
 
andrewmorris92

Ubaldo Jimenez?

May 02, 2014 08:44 AM
rating: 0
 
JHGrimm

Why would you want Doug to endure that?

You monster.

May 02, 2014 15:59 PM
rating: 3
 
hmamis

I thought that diminished velocity was a sign of a possible torn ACLU.

Harrym

May 02, 2014 20:30 PM
rating: 0
 
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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Hit List: F... (05/02)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Raising Aces: Too Soon... (04/25)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Raising Aces: Making S... (05/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Be... (05/02)

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