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April 17, 2014

Fantasy Freestyle

Recovering Prospects

by Craig Goldstein


This is the time of year when every article begins with the caveat that stats aren’t worth much right now, but, hey, here are some stats. Well, this is like that except it’s fully acknowledging that the stats aren’t worth anything. All they’re here for is to key in on some players who were highly thought of at one point who struggled through a rough 2013 and have come out of the gates quickly. This isn’t to impart meaning to those good starts, but just identify them as prospects to monitor as the season progresses:

Trevor Story - SS - Colorado Rockies

  • 2013 line: .233/.305/.394 (130 games at High-A)
  • 2014 line: .360/.418/.580 (12 games at High-A)

One of the bigger duds of the prospect world in 2013, Story was returned to High-A after logging 183 strikeouts in 130 games. It wasn’t just the whiffs, nor the statistics that ruined 2013 for Story, though; the scouting reports were equally as ugly, noting issues with his swing, balance, timing, and pitch recognition, among other things.

Despite all those struggles, an offseason to clear the slate seems to have done Story a world of good, as he’s started off 2014 like a house on fire. The scouting reports aren’t as kind as they point out the same potential timing/rhythm issues, though they were positive in detailing his bat speed and approach. The timing issues are unlikely to be done haunting Story, but they don’t seem to be a problem at the moment, at least from a production standpoint.

A couple of things to keep in mind before declaring Story “fixed,” though. First, 12 games don’t mean much if they’re not accompanied by mechanical adjustments, and even then, it’s no sure things those adjustments remain in place. Second, Story is repeating the league, and while he’s not old for it at 21, he does have a leg up in some respects. Lastly, it’s the California League, where any positive offensive output needs to be taken with a grain of salt to begin with, much less a 12-game sample from a player repeating the league.

While the paragraph above might seem to invalidate all the positives from Story’s brief season, I think the mechanical adjustments are key here. If he can hold on to those while continuing to iron out his timing, we could be looking at something close to the prospect who ranked no. 1 in the system entering the 2013 season.

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Notes from the Field: ... (04/16)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fig... (04/16)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Why... (04/21)
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Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (04/17)

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