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April 1, 2014

The Stash List

Week One

by Bret Sayre


Welcome back to my focal column here at Baseball Prospectus, The Stash List. I know, you’ve missed it. But for the 2014 season, we’re starting right from Week 1 with a first look at who you should be spending valuable reserve slots on in your league. For those of you not familiar with this column and the types of players who are included/excluded from it, I will now throw it out to past Bret to explain from April of 2013:

The purpose of it is to rank the top 25 players who are not active contributors to fantasy teams for 2013 only. Again, it does not take into account future value, which would result in a very different order. This list will include four different types of players, with specific restrictions attached:

Minor Leaguers: anyone currently in the minors. There is no ownership restriction for this category.

Major Leaguers on the DL: anyone current on the disabled list that is owned in fewer than 25 percent of leagues. The restriction is there to exclude obvious players like Hanley Ramirez or Zack Greinke, as I find it hard to believe they’d be on the wire in any leagues.

Closers-in-waiting: any reliever who is not actively getting saves and is owned in fewer than 25 percent of leagues. This excludes pitchers who are in “committees” and setup men who are widely owned for their own values, like Aroldis Chapman during April and May of 2012.

Others-in-waiting: any other player who is not currently active in the role that would net him the most fantasy value. This includes pitchers who are in line for a rotation spot but are not currently there, and position players who are not receiving regular playing time. These are players who would see a huge uptick in value from a change in role, like Kris Medlen in 2012.

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46 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

DanDaMan

Ah, forgot about this column. Love it though. Very helpful.

Apr 01, 2014 04:33 AM
rating: 1
 
jaked2782

so im sure im not the only one wondering....why no Archie?

Apr 01, 2014 04:36 AM
rating: 0
 
jaked2782

nevermind i missed him.. i see him now my bad

Apr 01, 2014 04:37 AM
rating: 0
 
swarmee

Consideration for Kendrys Morales, Stephen Drew, or Juan Francisco?

Apr 01, 2014 04:42 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Morales and Drew aren't part of the universe for this list, though if you're allowed to pick them up, they certainly make for interesting fliers. Francisco isn't a guy I'd be worried about stashing at this point--even if he got the playing time, I doubt he'd be able to do enough with it.

Apr 01, 2014 07:13 AM
 
Eddie Bajek

Jonathan Gray comes to mind as a possible glaring omission.

Apr 01, 2014 04:53 AM
rating: 0
 
Matthew W

Maybe let him throw a pitch in double A, before we worry about when he will have an impact...

The purpose of this list isn't "long term keepers", it's a factor of "timeframe, impact and probability.".

Apr 01, 2014 05:22 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Couldn't have said it better myself. I like Gray a lot long term, but he doesn't belong here yet.

Apr 01, 2014 07:13 AM
 
Eddie Bajek

But if he goes out and shoves in his AA debut, which a lot of scouts expect him to do, will it not be too late at that point? Maybe I'm just used to a deeper league...

Also, I disagree with your Derek Norris notion, but may leave that for a podcast email.

Apr 01, 2014 13:26 PM
rating: 0
 
huztlers

That is the type of stash which can cost you your league. This is not the top 25 prospects, it is players which may make an impact sooner than later.

Apr 01, 2014 14:28 PM
rating: -1
 
Eddie Bajek

I think we disagree on how quickly Gray will be ready. I envision a Gerrit Cole 2013 type season.

Apr 02, 2014 04:37 AM
rating: 1
 
Behemoth

It's unlikely that the Rockies will be in contention for long enough to make it worth rushing him. Realistically, even if he destroys AA, he'll be there for a couple of months. Probably a month or so at AAA as well to take him past the super-2 deadline. So in that case, you get half a season. If he doesn't lay waste immediately and every time, you get less of him. Even if he does, he has to pitch very well in the bigs immediately to have value, given that he plays in Colorado.

Apr 02, 2014 06:38 AM
rating: 0
 
jaked2782

thanks again for doing this list..i very much looked forward to seeing this each week last year.. I havent heard many talk about Nationals pitcher AJ Cole..what do you think his chances are of getting the call and returning some value?

Apr 01, 2014 05:46 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

I'd be surprised if Cole saw major league time in 2014 for two reasons. First, the Nationals have at least seven starters ahead of him (Roark, Jordan, Detwiler). Second, he's not ready and needs to make real strides with his breaking ball to get major league hitters out on a consistent basis.

Apr 01, 2014 07:15 AM
 
jlowery

I would lobby for Matt Wisler making the list, with Josh Johnson now hurt, question marks at the back of the rotation, Casey Kelly not ready yet, etc. Taking park factor into account he at least deserves honorable mention above Butler, and I would argue he should make the list above Stroman as well.


Also, the Upton brothers and Jason Heyward would like a word about that whole best defensive outfield thing!

Apr 01, 2014 06:16 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Wisler was one of the last cuts from the list. And it stems from both the fact that I don't think Wisler is ready to contribute meaningfully yet and that I believe in both Robbie Erlin and Casey Kelly (when he returns). Wisler will see major league time this year, but I don't think it comes until the second half.

Apr 01, 2014 07:23 AM
 
Graz96

Hey Bret, where do you see Carlos Correa ending up this year on the list? Any chance for a call up in September?

Apr 01, 2014 07:43 AM
rating: 0
 
Nojsztat

You realize he hasn't even played in A Advanced yet, let alone AA, right?

Apr 01, 2014 08:04 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

I don't see him on the list at any point in 2014, as I don't think that call up is happening. However, he is advanced enough to feature prominently on the initial 2015 edition.

Apr 01, 2014 09:23 AM
 
SJLedet

What's the latest on Jaime Garcia being available?

Apr 01, 2014 07:53 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Garcia has two problems--uncertain health and a very deep Cardinals rotation. He's one of my personal favorites from a talent perspective, but I'm getting more and more concerned that he doesn't play much of a role with the Cardinals this year.

Apr 01, 2014 09:22 AM
 
t0mmyo

Carlos Martinez missing out on the last rotation spot is a crime.

Has the most upside of any pitcher in that rotation not named Shelby.

Apr 01, 2014 10:27 AM
rating: -1
 
PDXPatrick

Have been thinking about dropping Javier Baez and then saw this. Thanks for helping me trust my draft-day self.

Apr 01, 2014 10:46 AM
rating: 0
 
MaineSkin

How about LaStella? I know he's not as sexy as the players listed above, but like Villar and mini-Krush (who can't hit a CB), the non-elite are essential to deep leagues.
Who are similar to LaStella?
Honestly, I think this question is unfair to ask at this particular time. Looking at Villar's rise through the MiLs, he showed consistent progression his 2nd time throw the league (K% lowered), so even as the trend existed, we all had to wait and see if his progression sustained at the higher lvls. In a month or so, I believe the popup guys begin to surface and depending on the league size is how and when owners may acquire (I traded Aybar around ASB for Villar and 2nd rnd pick in 50 player per dynasty).

Apr 01, 2014 11:12 AM
rating: 0
 
swarmee

I like how he is known on CBS Sportsline as "Stella, Tommy La" in the player listing. So you might have to hunt around for him if you want to pick him up.

Apr 01, 2014 11:33 AM
rating: 1
 
andrewdeeble

Hey Bret, if you put the list together this morning would the Parnell injury put Vic Black on the list? We know Valverde can't get it done, right?

Apr 01, 2014 11:22 AM
rating: 0
 
Jquinton82

Why would you ever put Jesus Montero on this list, even in the form of an honorable mention? ...he's been nothing but awful since being traded to Seattle.

Apr 01, 2014 11:52 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Because I still have a little faith that he can still hit and he still has catcher eligibility for 2014. I'm aware that I'm one of the few remaining members of this bandwagon.

Apr 01, 2014 14:40 PM
 
BarryR

Colby Lewis is still on the DL and I think should be on this list, perhaps partnered with Niese, like the Walker/Bradley pairing.

Apr 01, 2014 13:17 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

I have zero faith in Colby Lewis both staying healthy and being productive.

Apr 01, 2014 14:38 PM
 
SC

Is Byron Buxton just too far away from the majors to merit mention? Seems like he could be up this summer if the Twins are terrible, though he may take a few years to get going the long-term value is tempting.

Apr 01, 2014 13:18 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

He's not only too far away, but he's also going to miss the beginning of the minor league season as well with a wrist injury. We won't see him in 2014.

Apr 01, 2014 14:39 PM
 
ironcurtin

Wishing roster sizes were larger in my league. Dropped Loney and replaced with Geroge Springer. Who the heck is Jesus Montero?!

- A Seattle Mariners Fan

Apr 01, 2014 13:32 PM
rating: 0
 
Hodiggity2001

Been waiting for this. Interesting that you have syndergaard higher than Bradley and walker. And Johnson for that matter. How did you come to that decision?

Apr 01, 2014 18:29 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Syndergaard is the best equipped of the group to return immediate value in fantasy leagues. He's fully healthy (unlike Walker) and he has a strong current command profile (unlike Bradley), plus he'll be in a favorable division/home park.

Apr 03, 2014 10:03 AM
 
Chad Supp

Thoughts on Kris Bryant making this list this season?

Apr 01, 2014 20:37 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

I'd be pretty surprised if we saw him before either August or September, and all of the other players on this list have a good chance to see major league time in the first half.

Apr 03, 2014 10:05 AM
 
tonygartner

As the date becomes closer,will be making an estimate of the "super 2" date. It would be helpful for planning when to try and pick up a minor leaguer who could get called up.
Thanks

Apr 02, 2014 10:35 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

It will definitely be something I talk about as June progresses, but even when we get there, it's still just an estimate.

Apr 03, 2014 10:07 AM
 
BPKevin

With SB a commodity usually sought after, would you think Billy Burns would be a decent stash in a deep league?

Apr 02, 2014 11:05 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

Unless you're in an AL-only league, I don't think Burns will be worth picking up. He'd be very stretched as anything closer to an every day player and Oakland expects to contend.

Apr 03, 2014 10:04 AM
 
VinnyCora

If Kris Bryant gets called up, he's at least a top 10 on this list, if not top 5. Either Brett forgot him, or doesn't believe he will get called up until 2015.

Apr 02, 2014 16:13 PM
rating: 0
 
jaked2782

no stash list this week?

Apr 09, 2014 17:36 PM
rating: 3
 
bigtonystarks

no stash list this week either?

Apr 16, 2014 19:04 PM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Bret Sayre
BP staff

The list returns on Tuesday the 22nd and will go straight through the rest of the season.

Apr 16, 2014 19:40 PM
 
jaked2782

He speaks!!

Apr 18, 2014 06:40 AM
rating: 0
 
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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Closer Report: Week On... (04/01)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article The Stash List: A 2014... (09/24)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Second... (04/22)
Next Article >>
Baseball Prospectus Ne... (04/01)

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