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March 4, 2014

Draft Ten Pack

The Prep Edition

by Nick J. Faleris and BP Prospect Staff


Prep Spotlight: Nick Gordon (SS/RHP, Olympia (Orlando, FL))

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Related Content:  Draft,  Prospects,  Scouting

15 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Behemoth

This is really useful, but it would be helpful for those of us who are less familiar with the players if you could put in something on their likely draft position as a matter of course.

Adding something like
Current Draft Stock: 3rd round
Potential: Top half of the second.

to each profile might be one way of doing this.

Mar 04, 2014 04:44 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Steffan Segui
BP staff

Generally speaking here the guys we are profiling are top 5 round talent with many like Reid-Fokey, Kolek, Touki and Holmes in the first round mix.

Mar 04, 2014 06:15 AM
 
Matt Trueblood

Steffan, am I wrong to think that the volatility of high-school players' stock makes that sort of labeling tricky, too? It seems to me that high-schoolers are developing and changing so much that there's almost no way to confidently forecase their draft position until a few weeks out from the event.

Mar 04, 2014 06:58 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Nick Faleris
BP staff

I think there is some truth to that. Perhaps more importantly, teams don't know exactly how they are lining these players up yet. So while I think it's fair to say Nick Gordon looks like a lock for the first round passed on his current profile, that could mean 7th overall or 27th overall depending on the rest of the spring and the wants of the particular teams drafting.

Mar 04, 2014 07:32 AM
 
BP staff member Steffan Segui
BP staff

There is definitely a good amount of volatility but even more things like signability, makeup and injury concerns still need to be ironed out. Plus the season just started so we could still see velo spikes or drops by some guys or power uptick in a hitter we didnt expect. So while we could put something like 1st to 2nd round or 3-6 in general the guys were covering in this content area really are all top guys anyways so it would look sort of redundant.

Mar 04, 2014 07:33 AM
 
Behemoth

I suppose the problem I have is that I can't necessarily work out from the scouting report whether someone is a likely first rounder or more likely to be a 3rd-5th guy. It seems that every pitcher has the potential to throw 95+ with interesting but inconsistent secondaries, and some command/control issues. I get that we're still a way off the draft, and that especially high school guys can develop markedly in that time, so it's hard to value players definitively at this stage. I'm aware of many of the guys that might be expected to go early in the first, but I'm finding it hard to broaden my knowledge much beyond that. All I seem to take away is that there are lots of people who have potential but are just in some sort of amorphous group that stretches from the back of the first round down to the level where you probably won't cover them. I'd be interested in any suggestions you have on how I can get a better feel for what's happening here.

Mar 04, 2014 07:52 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Nick Faleris
BP staff

Great question. This class is particularly flush with power arms, so it is a bit atypical in that sense. All of the arms mentioned in this article are 1st or second round guys right now. Bonfield and Lane are both early round candidates, but their stock is a little more up in the air. We have run the first three pieces of our positional preview series for the draft, so definitely check those out for a better sense of tiering for the HS catchers, middle infielders and corner infielders. I will be publishing the rest of that preview -- just got sidetracked by early scouting travels for the college season and some end-of-prospect-season stuff.

Finally, I will ALWAYS be available on twitter and in the comment section to give any thoughts on current stock of players, and where I think they might fit in. My one condition is you understand my projection is based on our player valuation with a little bit of industry thoughts sprinkled in, and at the end of the day teams value these players so differently that a fourth round talent for some could be popped in second round.

Thanks as always for reading!

Mar 04, 2014 08:04 AM
 
Behemoth

Thanks for the replies. I fully understand that rankings can change radically between now and the draft for a load of reasons, and that it just takes one team to like a guy a lot for him to get popped earlier than most people think he should be. Also signability and other stuff too. I'll go and read the articles you suggested and pester you if I have any more questions.

Mar 04, 2014 08:59 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Ron Shah
BP staff

Not to forget hideout guys.

Mar 04, 2014 15:10 PM
 
Kyle Matte

Nick Gordon going to the Blue Jays at 9 or 11 would be a great outcome for me.

Mar 04, 2014 05:20 AM
rating: 0
 
TwinsfanTravis

I haven't seen a whole lot on Braxton Davidson on this site. Is that because no one at BP has actually gotten to see him play? Or is it more an indication of your opinion on him? Cause I would say he would figure prominently in the discussion of early round draftable prep bats.

Mar 04, 2014 09:45 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Nick Faleris
BP staff

We wrote about him last summer and I think the reports show how much I, and others, like him. He is featured in the next positional preview piece which will post as soon as I have time to finalize.

His lack of mention in the draft ten packs is more a product of the fact his season isn't that far underway (I believe he's only played one game thus far?). He'll be discussed often, I'm sure, in the coming weeks. Definite 1st Round potential and an argument for best overall bat in the class.

Mar 04, 2014 10:23 AM
 
TwinsfanTravis

Sweet! Thanks for the reply. I have gotten see him play a lot and I am always interested to hear/read other's analysis of him.

Mar 04, 2014 10:58 AM
rating: 0
 
playball22

I would like to read something on OF Stone Garrett who had one of the better high school bats over the summer circuit and is off to a terrific start this spring.

Mar 04, 2014 21:44 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Nick Faleris
BP staff

Stone, like Braxton, will be covered in the HS outfield positional preview. We'll get updates for the weekly ten pack, as well. Thanks.

Mar 04, 2014 23:15 PM
 
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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Why ... (03/04)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Draft Ten Pack: Jumbo ... (03/03)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Draft Ten Pack: March ... (03/11)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Top Tools: Best Fastba... (03/04)

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