February 12, 2014
Fantasy Team Preview
There isn’t a lot of fantasy value on this team, sure to be a bottom feeder again, but what they do have could be very high-impact.
Stanton is obviously the prime attraction and his upside alone is still worthy of second-round consideration. You certainly aren’t getting him if you wait until the third. It’s not hard to imagine a 50-homer season, but obviously he needs to stay healthy. Both Yelich and Ozuna bring intrigue, though they both have platoon issues. Of course, that puts Yelich ahead, since he handles righties while struggling against southpaws.
I have to ding Salty with the stadium change. Six of his homers were of the “just enough” variety by Hit Tracker Online, and now he’s going to a home park with 65 (LHB) and 75 (RHB) home-run park factors. The switch-hitter hit 12 of his 14 homers as a lefty last season. He had a .372 BABIP driving his .273 AVG and he’s a career .246 hitter otherwise. Losing just a couple of homers and regressing his AVG back down to the .240ish level saps a lot of his value.
Jones can have some NL-only value if the Marlins platoon him like the Pirates did. Furcal and McGehee haven’t played in the majors since 2012 and haven’t been effective in the majors since 2010.
Baker is a great platoon partner for Jones, with a 1.073 OPS against southpaws last year and .875 for his career.
Fernandez could add a run to his ERA and still be a superstar. You can make a case for him as high as third overall among starters. He has just one year of track record, but nothing about the season suggested it was a fluke on any level.
Eovaldi is a personal favorite, but the secondary stuff needs to jump forward for him to become an all-formats play. Turner is a blue-chip prospect who has shown glimpses each of the last two seasons. Right now, he has ground-ball ability and a spacious ballpark, but there is plenty of growth potential in the 23-year-old righty.
Don’t sleep on Cishek. Everyone worries about saves on the crummy teams, but if the pitcher is good enough, he’s going to get enough opportunities to notch 30-plus. Cishek is good, and thus his 34 last year shouldn’t surprise anyone. The one thing is that at 28, they have no real need for him, and another hot season could put him on the block, which might jeopardize his job as a closer depending on his destination.
Ramos would likely be the frontrunner to get the job in the absence of Cishek, but Capps is a nice darkhorse. He’s way better than last year’s 5.49 ERA.
Fifth Starter: Koehler vs. Brian Flynn vs. Brad Hand
(Shhh, I know it’s Kohler and not Koehler)
Player to Target: Giancarlo Stanton
Player to Avoid: Jarrod Saltalamacchia
Deep Sleeper: Andrew Heaney