CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/27)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/25)
No Next Column
Next Article >>
The Prospectus Hit Lis... (09/27)

September 27, 2013

Fantasy Fool's Gold

American League Starting Pitchers

by Ben Carsley


On Wednesday, esteemed colleague and scholarly gentleman Craig Goldstein continued our Fantasy Fool’s Gold series with our first look at pitchers, covering some starters in the senior circuit.

Today, I pick up this mantle with four players from the American League who, despite your best intentions, will disappoint you if you rely on them.

Don’t rely on them.

Anthony Ranaudo, Red Sox
One of the better MiLB comeback stories of 2013, Ranaudo was left for dead by many a prospect pundit after an abysmal 2012 campaign that saw him throw just 37 2/3 uninspired innings in Double-A. That came off of a 2011 campaign that disappointed many, as Ranaudo put up lackluster numbers in Low-A and High-A after being drafted in the first round in 2010. He made nary a Red Sox top 10 list headed into the season, and it wasn’t hard to see why: it looked like the pitcher from LSU we all fell in love with was gone forever.

Ranaudo has made us rethink that narrative in 2013. He put up a 2.95 ERA and 8.70 K/9 in 109.2 Double-A innings, limiting his walks to 3.28 per nine. In 30.1 innings in Triple-A, Ranaudo saw both his strikeout and walk rates fall but still maintained an ERA south of 3.00. The Red Sox are loaded at starting pitcher next year, with six viable MLB options and then Ranaudo, Allen Webster and Matt Barnes all knocking on the door. However, with Webster’s 2013 MLB struggles and Barnes’ turbulent 2013, Ranaudo could be the first to get the call should a need arise in Boston.

Unfortunately, scouting reports from Ranaudo’s 2013 aren’t as glowing as his stats. As Chris Mellen wrote in August, Ranaudo struggles to keep his fastball out of the fat part of the plate and his changeup is average at best. I saw Ranaudo with my own eyes in August and was similarly underwhelmed with his command and breaking stuff. It’s not that we’re not working with a good prospect here: he’s just probably not quite as good as some are making him out to be now. Ranaudo is a much better prospect than he was a year ago, but don’t fall in love with this tale of redemption. He’s a no. 4 starter who, barring a trade, will be pitching most of his games in a hitter-friendly environment.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/27)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/25)
No Next Column
Next Article >>
The Prospectus Hit Lis... (09/27)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article What You Need to Know: August 29, 2014
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: This Article Mentions Fehlan...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 29
Premium Article The Call-Up: Dilson Herrera
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, Augu...
Prospectus Feature: Roast A Parks
Premium Article Raising Aces: Mis-Priced

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 27, 2013
Premium Article Overthinking It: Mariano Rivera's Final Four...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: A Bronx Goodbye
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Hypotheses That Require ...
Premium Article Raising Aces: A Taxonomy of Pitcher Triples
The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 2...
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: September ...

MORE BY BEN CARSLEY
2013-10-06 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Preview:...
2013-10-04 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: P...
2013-10-03 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: P...
2013-09-27 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Startin...
2013-09-18 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Outfiel...
2013-09-16 - Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Hot Corner Conundrums
2013-09-13 - Premium Article Covering the Call-Ups, Part Two
More...

MORE FANTASY FOOL'S GOLD
2013-09-27 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Startin...
2013-09-25 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: National League Startin...
2013-09-18 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Outfiel...
2013-09-17 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: National League Outfiel...
More...