Notice: Trying to get property 'display_name' of non-object in /var/www/html/wp-content/plugins/wordpress-seo/src/generators/schema/article.php on line 52
keyboard_arrow_uptop

This is a graph. The X axis is teams. The Y axis is… up to you to figure out. I'll post the graph again, with the Y axis identified, tomorrow morning.

Three clues:

1. Dan Brooks made this graph using data from a metric found here on BP.

2. The majority of the bars won't change for the rest of the year, though a bunch certainly will.

3. This is a graph about 2013.

Winner gets to replace me as the co-host of Effectively Wild forever.

***

Thursday update.

As Aceathon correctly noted, these are each team's daily playoff odds changes, summed. In one way of looking at this, you might argue that it was better to be an Indians fan this season than a Tigers fan, even if the Indians miss the playoffs. You might argue that. I might argue that, but I sense I wouldn't get very far with most people. Here are a few other looks at the same data:

What's interesting is how much the Royals haven't moved. For all that they have sold themselves as a contender throughout this season, their actual chances haven't fluctuated much more than, say, the Phillies. If they manage to make the playoffs, that's going to be one rapid spike.

Thank you for reading

This is a free article. If you enjoyed it, consider subscribing to Baseball Prospectus. Subscriptions support ongoing public baseball research and analysis in an increasingly proprietary environment.

Subscribe now
You need to be logged in to comment. Login or Subscribe
Aceathon
9/18
Something about the sum of the absolute value of playoff odds changes per day.
lyricalkiller
9/18
oh my word
brooksbaseball
9/18
Brief recap of last 15 minutes, a ONE ACT PLAY:

Dramatis Personae:
Me.
Sam.
Aceathon.

me: Hey, want to see something neat?
Sam: Sure.
<>
Sam: Oh, do I get to guess what it is?
Sam: This would be a great game, post this chart on BP and have people guess.
Me: Really?
Sam: Yeah, hold on, I bet it takes a bunch of guesses.
<>
Aceathon: Correct on first guess.
Exeunt omnes.
Fin.
Gotribe31
9/18
Aceathon: Drops mic, walks off stage
majnun
9/18
Awesome
redguy12588
9/18
I never would have guessed this
brownsugar
9/18
I'm pretty sure that Aceathon works for the NSA.
DeathSpeculum
9/18
i think clues 2 and 3 were probably unnecessary.
DeathSpeculum
9/18
sam,
are you still going to post this again in the morning?
lyricalkiller
9/18
I guess. I'm half pouting half in awe of Aceathon. Dan put together some different angles on this so I might do a separate post and link it.
Percy0715
9/18
Does Ben know he has a new co-host?
bornyank1
9/19
Looking forward to talking to Aceathon every night
bb10kbb10k
9/19
Hire Aceathon! Hire Aceathon!
dougcox
9/19
Season leverage index of yesterday's game?
Aceathon
9/19
#batflip
chabels
9/19
#92mphbetweenthenumbers
walrus0909
9/20
#worthit