CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/18)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/17)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/25)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Eig... (09/18)

September 18, 2013

Fantasy Fool's Gold

American League Outfielders

by Ben Carsley


The AL outfield prospect scene is the California goldfield of fantasy fool’s gold players.

That’s partially due to sheer numbers: there are more outfield prospects than offensive prospects of any other ilk (#analysis). It’s also partially due to the requisite skill sets that outfielders possess. Some are very fast. Some are very powerful. And some tease enough of both tools to make fantasy owners feel special feelings.

Yet with all this potential for fantasy glory comes an equal chance of heartbreak. And so without further ado, the next piece in our Fantasy Fool’s Gold series is comprised of five AL outfielders. You can check out the venerable Bret Sayre’s piece on NL outfielders from yesterday here.

Abraham Almonte, OF, Mariners
Perhaps one of the more obscure players in this series, those of you with exceedingly good memories, too much time on your hands, or both may remember Almonte as a former prospect of note in the Yankees system. He put up a TAv of .282 as a 19-year-old in Single-A in 2009, which briefly put him on the prospect map. After a few years of relative obscurity, Almonte was dealt to Seattle for Shawn Kelley in the offseason. He’s apparently attracted to rain or failed offensive prospects, as Almonte has performed well enough this season to reach the majors, where he’s currently hitting .313 through 54 PA.

So has Seattle finally found a diamond in the rough among in its pile of broken prospect toys? Don’t bet on it. Almonte was hitting well in Double-A this season when the M’s decided to promote him to Triple-A, where he hit an outstanding .314/.403/.491 in 396 PA. That line was buoyed by a .363 BABIP, though, and the power he’s shown this year looks fluky compared to the rest of his MiLB career. While it’s natural that a 24-year-old would start hitting for more pop, Almonte is just 5-foot-9 and power has never been a part of his projection. To his credit, he does possess above-average speed and has gone 26-for-34 in stolen-base attempts this season.

It’s possible that Almonte is a late-ish bloomer who’s finally figured it out and can stay on a shallow M’s team for a while. But even if he does spend the majority of 2014 in the majors, there’s not much to suggest he’ll contribute enough in any one category or cumulatively to warrant attention in mixed leagues. In a sadistic way, it’s fun to imagine an organization failing to develop Jesus Montero and bringing the best out of Almonte, but don’t bank on those odds.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

1 comment has been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/18)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/17)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: N... (09/25)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Eig... (09/18)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of September 12-1...
The Week in Quotes: September 8-14
In A Pickle: How To Lose Lots of One-Run Gam...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, September 1...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: September 15, 2014
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: September 15, 2014
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Starving Young Royals, Bat...

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 18, 2013
Pebble Hunting: Why Koji Uehara?
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Nothing Quiet on the ...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, Septembe...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: McDonald's Grimace
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Eight Surging Starters
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: September ...

MORE BY BEN CARSLEY
2013-10-04 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: P...
2013-10-03 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: P...
2013-09-27 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Startin...
2013-09-18 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Outfiel...
2013-09-16 - Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Hot Corner Conundrums
2013-09-13 - Premium Article Covering the Call-Ups, Part Two
2013-09-12 - Premium Article Covering the Call-Ups, Part One
More...

MORE FANTASY FOOL'S GOLD
2013-09-27 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Startin...
2013-09-25 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: National League Startin...
2013-09-18 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: American League Outfiel...
2013-09-17 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: National League Outfiel...
2013-09-13 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: Shortstops
2013-09-11 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: Second Base Prospects
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2013-09-19 - Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 25