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September 11, 2013

Sporer Report

Soft Schedule Starters

by Paul Sporer


I’m not going to lie: it’s not easy to come up with impactful topics to help you with your chase for the pennant in mid-September. The biggest issue is that the tiny sample of time remaining makes variance a major factor. We could see some 25th guy (or 35th guy given expansion) on the roster run off two weeks of .400/.500/.600 with a handful of homers and RBI, and the season will end before regression to the mean can catch him.

So what I did for y’all was forecast every rotation from here on out and pluck out the best potential remaining schedules. This is essentially an extension of the piece I did a month ago where I pointed out the best team schedules and discussed some potentially available arms from those teams. I ended up with 24 pitchers, 15 in the National League and nine in the American League, who should have a nice pair or trio of starts to close out the season. This is very much subject to change, but at the very least you can start looking out for some of these names and then if you have to dump one because he falls off-kilter from the projection, you can scoop up another guy.

I started the schedule forecasting with Monday since a lot of leagues are weekly transactions only, but obviously you daily transactions folks have an even greater chance to take advantage of this list. These pitchers are on no more than 60 percent of ESPN rosters and only a few will be available in single leagues so this is more for you mixed leaguers. (The write-ups for those beyond the top five in the NL and top three in the AL will be shorter by design and the pitchers are ranked in the order I would acquire them.)

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Jon Niese, NYM (SF, MIL) – Niese does have a matchup against the Reds in Cincinnati in between these two gems that you may want to avoid, but these two starts should be enough to make up for it if you are forced to use him in Cincy. As an added bonus for you daily leaguers, he is set to face to the Marlins on Friday, so act now if your league allows it. Even with four and five earned run outings bookending his six starts since returning from the DL, he still has a 2.95 ERA in 39 2/3 innings.

Dillon Gee, NYM (at PHI, MIL) – Gee also goes in that Marlins series so he’s another one to act on now if you league rules permit as much, otherwise your first usage of him will be next Saturday. Even with Tuesday night’s mediocre effort against the Nats, Gee has a 2.47 ERA in 69 1/3 innings over 10 starts since the All-Star break.

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/11)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Five Ti... (09/04)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Under t... (09/25)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Fool's Gold: S... (09/11)

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