CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pac... (07/22)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Seeing... (07/16)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Specul... (07/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (07/23)

July 23, 2013

The Stash List

Drawing a Line in the Sand

by Bret Sayre


We may have moved past the big Super Two names, but the call-ups from the minor league have not stopped. Instead we have a slew of non-Top 100 prospects up with bigleague clubs—some even looking at legitimate playing time. For the purposes of the Stash List (which is geared towards mixed leaguers), these players aren’t of requisite value to be on your radar—especially when compared with players who are likely to be free agents in those leagues. At some point, there needs to be a line drawn in the sand between prospects who can come up and produce enough to be ownable in medium-sized mixed leagues and ones that are very unlikely to be able to do so. The truth is that for a lot of these minor leaguers, the only leagues they’re getting picked up in are the ones where almost everyone needs to be owned, and you don’t need me to tell you to own a player who’s going to get playing time in an AL or NL-only format.

But with that said, a lot of people who read this site and this column do play in those deeper formats, so I’m going to dig into some of those players right now, and what I expect from them this season. And let’s start with the most recent, and likely most valuable, call-up of the last week or so:

Jonathan Villar

In the short-term, Villar is important for one thing and one thing only: speed. He’s stolen at least 30 bases in each of the last three seasons, including the 31 that he already has in 2013. Now, you’re probably wondering why a guy with this much speed, shortstop eligibility, and an apparent starting job in front of him hasn’t gotten much love in this space. The answer is pretty simple—he can’t really hit. Sure, he’s hitting .278 this season, but he’s a career .260 hitter in the minor leagues, including a .244 average in 169 games at Double-A. If he plays the rest of the year, he might be able to get you 10 steals and score 20-25 runs, but beyond, that it’s negative returns.

Henry Urrutia

The latest Cuban import to hit the majors, Urrutia is now platooning at DH at the bottom of the Orioles’ lineup. And while he is likely to get more of the at-bats because he’s left-handed, the better question is what he’s going to be able to do with them. At best, this seems like a guy who could hit in the .280 range with just about nothing else. He doesn’t have a swing suited for power production and he’s not a base stealer—plus the counting stats won’t be anything special based on his lineup position. Essentially, he’s the anti-Puig. He’ll make lots of contact, but is unlikely to do anything exciting.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

8 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pac... (07/22)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Seeing... (07/16)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Specul... (07/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit Lis... (07/23)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Second Edition
Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: AL Central U25 Lists
Premium Article The Call-Up: Luis Sardinas
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Monday, April ...
Baseball Therapy: The Houdini Hangover Effec...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: No Sale
Premium Article Notes from the Field: Sally, Florida State, ...

MORE FROM JULY 23, 2013
Overthinking It: Ryan Braun, Biogenesis, and...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Christian Yelich and Jake Maris...
Transaction Analysis: Garza's Trip
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Monday, July 2...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: The Nats' New Hitting...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, July 23
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: July 23, 2...

MORE BY BRET SAYRE
2013-07-30 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Speculating on the Trade Dea...
2013-07-25 - Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 17
2013-07-23 - Premium Article The Call-Up: Christian Yelich and Jake Maris...
2013-07-23 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Drawing a Line in the Sand
2013-07-18 - Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 16
2013-07-17 - Premium Article The Baseball Decathlon
2013-07-16 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Seeing the List in Action
More...

MORE THE STASH LIST
2013-08-13 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Checking Back in on the Grad...
2013-08-06 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: The Biogenesis Fallout, or L...
2013-07-30 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Speculating on the Trade Dea...
2013-07-23 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Drawing a Line in the Sand
2013-07-16 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Seeing the List in Action
2013-07-09 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: All Killer, No Filler
2013-07-02 - Fantasy Article The Stash List: Remembering the Medlen Effec...
More...