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July 16, 2013

BP Unfiltered

The LOL-Time Home Run Derby Team

by Sam Miller

Friend of the podcast Chad Reno just emailed us:

I was wondering what the worst possible eight-man derby would look like if it only comprised past lousy participants. This would be exclusive of their actual performance in the derby, so Piazza wouldn't be on it. This would only be players that no one would really care to watch do anything, let alone try to hit home runs. Here's who I came up with:

At the time Henry Rodriguez made it, he was one of the most exciting home run hitters of the news cycle. Candy bars on the field and all that, so he's on there now only because we have the benefit of hindsight. I'd be comfortable replacing him with Michael Cuddyer, who, I'm fond of noting, has seven home runs on the road this year. (Marlon Byrd has 11.) But for now, we can go with Rodriguez. Here's how each player did after being selected as one of the premier home run hitters in the game:

Player Second Half Following Season Career, post-Derby
Virgil 7 9 17
Tettleton 6 15 192
Rodriguez 11 26 114
Lankford 14 31 117
Easley 8 20 105
Jaha 17 1 18
Choi 2 0 2
Inge 3 13 32
Average 8.5 14.4 74.6

For Cuddyer, the averages look like pretty good over/under lines. Probably take the over for next year, but otherwise abut what I expect for him.

You could really crash the stats with a few replacements: Hubie Brooks (1986) for Tettleton; Chris Sabo (1991) for Lankford; B.J. Surhoff (1999) for Rodriguez. That gets us to:

Player Second Half Following Season Career, post-Derby
Virgil 7 9 17
Brooks 0 14 94
Sabo 14 12 62
Surhoff 8 14 50
Easley 8 20 105
Jaha 17 1 18
Choi 2 0 2
Inge 3 13 32
Average 7.4 10.4 47.5

None of these players, it should be noted, were hometown picks*. They were all chosen for their dingers. Their sweet, glistening dingers.

*Choi was chosen for national representation, Dan reminds us.

Sam Miller is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Sam's other articles. You can contact Sam by clicking here

Related Content:  All-Star Game

8 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Asinwreck

I like you.

Jul 16, 2013 10:17 AM
rating: 0
 
backwardgalaxy

Mickey Tettleton really makes this list? I dunno.

Jul 16, 2013 12:57 PM
rating: 2
 
jonjacoby

I always liked Hee Sop Choi. I was interested in seeing him

Jul 16, 2013 14:10 PM
rating: 1
 
smallflowers

Back off of Mickey Tettleton, Reno. Back. the. F. off. Mickey Tettleton.

Jul 16, 2013 17:11 PM
rating: 5
 
cdt719

I had no idea the HR Derby dated back to 1985, but I guess that's because it wasn't televised live until 1998.

Jul 16, 2013 19:45 PM
rating: 0
 
Pat Folz

Oh it's far older than 1985!

(sort of)

http://www.hulu.com/home-run-derby

Jul 17, 2013 09:19 AM
rating: 0
 
Eminor3rd

Wait, Brandon Inge was in the 2009 HR Derby?

Jul 17, 2013 09:51 AM
rating: 2
 
Shkspr

It was weird...at first he tried to get in wearing a Mark Teixeira jersey, but everybody noticed the dark sunglasses and fake muttonchops and the gig was up.

Jul 17, 2013 22:43 PM
rating: 1
 
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