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July 11, 2013

Bullpen Report

Going Downhill

by Mike Gianella


Welcome to another installment of The Bullpen Report. As a reminder, closers are rated in five tiers from best to worst. The tiers are a combination of my opinion of a pitcher’s ability, the likelihood that he will pick up saves, and his security in the job. For example, a pitcher in the third tier might have better skills than a pitcher in the second tier, but if the third tier pitcher is new to the job or has blown a couple of saves in the last week this factors into the ranking as well.

One of the most frequent questions I get is “why did you move this reliever down? His overall numbers and/or his recent numbers are great.” This question crops up a lot, specifically when it comes to why I might or might not rank a reliever in the first or second tier.

While I addressed this in a previous version of the column, there are two factors I am looking at when it comes to a reliever that impact his rating, and they probably need additional explanation.

1. Recent performance

I’m not merely looking at save conversions, but strikeout rates, ERA/WHIP, and frequency of usage/opportunities. All closers in the first and second tier are understood to have a great deal of job security; the difference in the rating ties into how well closers are performing in other categories.

2. Overall fantasy (Rotisserie) value

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<< Previous Article
Painting the Black: Er... (07/10)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Stuck ... (06/27)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Trade ... (07/18)
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Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (07/11)

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