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June 29, 2013

Fantasy Beat

Weekly #streameroftheday Update

by Bret Sayre

For those of you unfamiliar with the #streameroftheday process, I recommend one starting pitcher per day who is owned in fewer than 10% of leagues (lower than your typical standards) and post it on Twitter at @dynastyguru. And this Friday post is where I stand in front of the firing squad, fully accountable for these recommendations. I ran a longer introduction in my first post of the season, explaining why my ownership limit is much lower than most others out there, but essentially it's to be helpful in deeper mixed leagues. If you want to read the whole thing, the link is here. With the pleasantries out of the way, let's jump into the action.

Here were the details for the last seven days:

Date Pitcher Opp IP ER H BB K Dec
6/21/13 Ricky Nolasco SF 5 2/3 3 9 2 1 ND
6/22/13 Martin Perez STL 7 2 5 1 3 Win
6/23/13 Joe Blanton PIT 7 1/3 1 6 0 6 ND
6/24/13 Esmil Rogers TB 6 4 7 3 2 Loss
6/25/13 Joe Saunders PIT 1 2/3 6 6 1 1 Loss
6/26/13 Robbie Erlin PHI 6 1/3 2 4 1 7 ND
6/27/13 Tyler Chatwood NYM 6 1 4 3 2 ND

Oh, Joe Saunders. Just when you think it's safe to get in the water. Coming into this start, Saunders had allowed only 13 earned runs in his seven starts at Safeco, so of course he gets bombed by the Pirates. That start turned what would have been a pretty great week into just an OK one. The highlights of the week were plentiful, starting with the return of Martin Perez. I've recommended Perez twice in the three weeks since Mike Gianella and I changed the Free Agent Watch format--and this is why. A victim of prospect fatigue, Perez is still only 22 years old, more than six months younger than rookie phenom Gerrit Cole. Joe Blanton turned in another solid outing at home, and his strikeouts have been ramping up over his last four starts. In fact, Blanton is tied for 14th in all of baseball in strikeouts during June. Robbie Erlin is going to be a great play at home if he continues to stay in the rotation, and Tyler Chatwood is turning into a great play anywhere. Unfortunately, Chatwood is dangerously close to losing his eligibility here.

And here are my overall numbers for both the week and the season:

Wins Win% IP ERA WHIP K K/9
Week 1 14% 40 4.28 1.30 22 4.95
Season 29 35% 474 2/3 4.57 1.37 351 6.66

The week lowered my ratios, but was disappointing as far as wins and strikeouts. Lots of near misses though, as Blanton, Erlin and Chatwood were both looking at wins before late leads were blown. I'm going to need to pick my spots carefully, but strikeouts and wins need to become a higher priority over the next few weeks as I start slipping further away from those targets (40% and 7.0 K/9).

See you again next week.

Bret Sayre is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Bret's other articles. You can contact Bret by clicking here

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