CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Premium Article Skewed Left: The WBC a... (03/21)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: You ... (03/18)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Coul... (03/25)
Next Article >>
Premium Article On the Beat: Sights of... (03/21)

March 21, 2013

Baseball Therapy

Is Brandon Inge Worth 10 Wins Behind Closed Doors?

by Russell A. Carleton


Brandon McCarthy thinks that Brandon Inge is worth 10 wins or so to a team behind closed doors. Jonny Gomes, too. Participating in a player panel at the SABR Analytics Conference earlier this month, McCarthy posited that if Inge and Gomes had been removed from the 2012 Oakland A's, they might have fallen from a 94-win team to a 70-win team, purely by virtue of being deprived of the effect the two players had in the clubhouse. According to WARP, Gomes was worth 2.2 wins last year, while Inge was worth 0.6. So, assuming that if neither had been on the team, they would have been replaced by... well, replacement level players, that means that Inge and Gomes somehow combined for 21.2 wins just by being good guys in the clubhouse.

Okay, so maybe McCarthy was exaggerating. Maybe the point that he wanted to make was that Inge and Gomes were fun to be around in the clubhouse and that that helped him and other players out quite a bit. Maybe he wasn't trying to be accurate to the third decimal place—or even the tens place. He just wanted to say that he believes that these sorts of things can make a difference on the field. But it does raise a question that I seem to be visiting a lot lately. What measurable difference can a player make behind the scenes?

McCarthy, now with the Arizona Diamondbacks, spoke to AZ Central's Nick Peicoro afterward and explained the effect like this:

It sound[sic] stupid, but if you have a rookie that comes up and rookies are filled with self-doubt, filled with worry, and now you’re in the big leagues and you come to a team where nobody makes you feel welcome. So now you’re already nervous, you’re kind of worried about your lot, and then the guys around you, you’re not comfortable and you don’t feel like you’re one of them. You don’t feel kind of free and like you can do what you do. But if you have a guy like Jonny Gomes or Brandon Inge or someone who just comes up and is just kind of (BS-ing) with you and it just sort of loosens you up and then everyone else can kind of get in the mix... That loosens you up, which in turn the person you interactive[sic] with — there’s a whole trickle down effect to it that’s impossible to quantify but it does exist in there.” (emphasis is mine).

Was that a challenge?

Warning! Gory Mathematical Details Ahead!
This is going to be tricky (and very gory). We don't know what Inge or Gomes (or anyone else) did behind the scenes, except in the most general terms. Whom did they help? On what day? (MLBAM folks, we really need BFFf/x up and running soon.) We do, however, know what clubhouses they've been in and who else was in there. And we know, in general, how those guys did from year to year. It's a very rough-hewn method, and we'll talk about the limitations in a bit, but we're not totally in the dark when it comes to measuring the effect of a single player on his teammates over time.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  Chemistry,  Clubhouse Chemistry

25 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Skewed Left: The WBC a... (03/21)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: You ... (03/18)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Coul... (03/25)
Next Article >>
Premium Article On the Beat: Sights of... (03/21)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Yu Better Watch Out
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Yankees' Post-River...
Pebble Hunting: Blind BABIP Test, Part 2
Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Is There a Pinch-Fielding ...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Wil Myers
Premium Article The Call-Up: Zack Wheeler
Premium Article Overthinking It: The Most Surprising Team Pe...

MORE FROM MARCH 21, 2013
Baseball Prospectus News: Dollar Sign On The...
Premium Article On the Beat: Sights of Spring
Premium Article Skewed Left: The WBC and Dominican Demograph...
In A Pickle: Becoming an Empowered and Infor...
Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Turnover in Miami
Fantasy Article Fantasy Tier Rankings: Third Basemen
The BP Wayback Machine: Q&A: Rick Porcello

MORE BY RUSSELL A. CARLETON
2013-03-29 - Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: T...
2013-03-27 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: The Lessons of Lohse
2013-03-25 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Could the All-Bullpen Appr...
2013-03-21 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Is Brandon Inge Worth 10 W...
2013-03-18 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: You Gotta Keep 'Em Separat...
2013-03-11 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Maybe I'm Wrong
2013-03-04 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Of Dogs, Men, and Stolen B...
More...

MORE BASEBALL THERAPY
2013-04-08 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Rethinking Randomness: Pit...
2013-03-27 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: The Lessons of Lohse
2013-03-25 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Could the All-Bullpen Appr...
2013-03-21 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Is Brandon Inge Worth 10 W...
2013-03-18 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: You Gotta Keep 'Em Separat...
2013-03-11 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Maybe I'm Wrong
2013-03-04 - Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Of Dogs, Men, and Stolen B...
More...