October 11, 2012

Playoff Prospectus

NLDS Game Five Preview: Giants at Reds

by Daniel Rathman

The vintage Tim Lincecum was resurrected at Great American Ballpark in Game Four, tossing 4 1/3 scoreless innings in relief of Barry Zito to lead the Giants to an 8-3 win that evened the series at 2-2. This afternoon’s contest is for all the marbles. To get you ready for the appetizer of a four-course baseball meal, here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for Game Five:

Giants (Matt Cain) vs. Reds (Mat Latos) – 1:00 p.m. ET
PECOTA Odds of Winning: Giants 53.6 percent, Reds 46.4 percent

Projected Starting Lineups:

Giants vs. Latos (R)

Reds vs. Cain (R)

Angel Pagan (S)

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers. Not a subscriber? Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web. Cancel anytime. That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in. 2 comments have been left for this article. BP Comment Quick Links code of conduct senorvegas (67881) Do these PECOTA odds include probable changes in pitcher usage? Bumgarner's coming out of the pen for the Giants, and the top relievers on both sides (most notably Chapman) will be available for longer stints than usual. Oct 11, 2012 08:19 AM link rating: 0   apbadogs (9256) Do these PECOTA odds take into account Mat Latos melting down over one missed call and a bad fielding play? Oct 11, 2012 11:48 AM link rating: 0   Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content. << Previous Article On the Beat: Managing ... (10/11) << Previous Column Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/10) Next Column >> Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/11) Next Article >> Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/11) RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS Transaction Analysis: Wolf on the Noggin Out of Left Field: Watching Baseball with a ... What You Need to Know: Dodging Bullets In A Pickle: Walk Don't Walk Baseball Therapy: Are Starters Motivated by ... On the Beat: The Optimistic Disastros Eyewitness Accounts: May 23, 2013 MORE FROM OCTOBER 11, 2012 Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Recap: Gi... Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game 4 Preview: Car... On the Beat: Managing the Golden Oldies Overthinking It: What Teams and Players Pred... In A Pickle: The Raul Ibanez Special Baseball Therapy: Is Joe Saunders a Double P... Collateral Damage Daily: Thursday, October 1... MORE BY DANIEL RATHMAN 2012-10-12 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: ... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Five Preview: ... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Four Preview: ... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: ... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game 4 Preview: Car... 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Preview:... 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Preview: ... More... MORE PLAYOFF PROSPECTUS 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Four Recap: At... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Recap: Gi... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game 4 Preview: Car... 2012-10-11 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: ... 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: C... 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: G... 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Three Recap: A... More... Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Customer Service  |  Newsletter  |  Masthead  |  Glossary  |  Contact Us Copyright © 1996-2013 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.            Surprise Me!