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September 12, 2012 The Platoon AdvantageThe Year of Everything But the ShortstopWe know that positional strength comes and goes in cycles, like most other things in life. The early and mid-90s were great for first basemen and elite starting pitchers, the late 90s and early aughts for shortstops. The time since then has mostly been dominated by Albert Pujols, but it’s been pretty excellent for outfielders and second basemen, too. We can debate those classifications, I suppose, but you get the idea. Over the last few years, though, I’d argue that the fates have shaken things out more or less evenly. In 2010, the MLB top 20 position players by WARP included at least one of every position but catcher (Joe Mauer came in at 22); in 2011, the top 12 had one at every position. The top 20 for 2012 includes 11 outfielders, three third basemen, three catchers, two second basemen, and, shockingly, just one first baseman. I’m pretty sure that each of the last three seasons has been branded the Year of the Pitcher at one point or another, but I’m not sure that’s totally justified, either; there are great pitchers, of course, but not so many or so dominant that they seem to dominate the sport. So in a way, the era we’re currently entering seems to be becoming an era of positional parity, one in which everyone can share...except the shortstops. The following table shows the average WARP for the top 10 MLB shortstops in every individual season for the past 10 years: |
Um... Ian Desmond?
Your point still stands, though he put up impressive numbers despite injury this year.
Desmond's bat has been very solid, but he gets knocked all the way out of the top ten thanks to a very poor showing in FRAA. He does better under some other metrics.
Isn't WARP in general trending downwards? You need a graph that compares shortstop WARP to non-pitching WARP.