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July 24, 2012
Future Shock Blog
Minor League Update: Games of July 23
by Kevin Goldstein
Nick Turley, LHP, Yankees (High-A Tampa): 7 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 9 K
It's rare for a 50th-round pick to be a prospect, but Turley is just that. Seen as unsignable in 2008, the Yankees took a flyer on him with their final pick and landed him with a $150,000 bonus.
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When was the last time someone put up as silly numbers as Straily has across two leagues? These are Nintendo numbers and he came almost out of nowhere...!
The optimist points to Tim Lincecum's 2007.
The pessimist points to Chuck James's 2005.
Chuck James had *historically* high fly ball rates. As there's really no "scouts vs. stats" divide anymore - beer and tacos, after all - James represents one of stat-heads' last 'victories'. Baseball America had James as a top-10 prospect when stat heads looked at his fly ball rate and realized there was no historical precedent for a pitcher of that type to experience major league success.
So I guess I'm saying he's not the best example of a guy with great minor league numbers failing to achieve in MLB. His lack of MLB success was predictable.