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July 18, 2012

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of July 17.

by Kevin Goldstein

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  • Matt Adams, 1B, Cardinals (Triple-A Memphis): 2-for-5, HR (15), R, 3 RBI, 3 K. 23 total bases in last four games have his numbers approach levels of ridiculous; .363/.391/.693 in 47 games.
  • Jorge Alfaro, C, Rangers (Low-A Hickory): 3-for-4, 2B, 3B, 2 R, 2 RBI. 19-year-old has been troubled by approach issues; .269/.331/.448 in 38 games.
  • Domonic Brown, OF, Phillies (Triple-A Lehigh Valley): 3-for-5, R. Playing well at the right time and up to .276/.325/.420, but the Phillies aren't buyers anymore.
  • Gary Brown, OF, Giants (Double-A Richmond): 2-for-4, HR (5), 3 R, RBI, BB, SB. All of the questions about his slow start have disappeared; 30-for-66 (.454) in last 15 games and suddenly up to .292/.357/.401 overall.
  • Matt Den Dekker, OF, Mets (Triple-A Buffalo):
    3-for-5, HR (7), 3 R, 4 RBI. Remember how awesome he was at Double-A? This game lifted OPS 42 points to .219/.248/.445 in 31 International League games.
  • Johnny Giavotella, 2B, Royals (Triple-A Omaha): 2-for-4, 3B, 2 R, RBI, BB. Just keeps hitting and seemingly being ignored by Royals; 12-game hitting streak has averages up to .329/.417/.506 in 60 games.
  • Brian Goodwin, OF, Nationals (Low-A Hagerstown): 2-for-5, HR (9), R, 2 RBI. CS. Really not sure why he's still at this level; three home runs in last four games and .324/.438/.542 in 58 games.
  • Jeremy Hazelbaker, OF, Red Sox (Double-A Portland): 3-for-3, 2 2B, 3 R, 2 BB, 2 SB. Athletic has all sorts of tools but questions about hitting; .249/.332/.427 in 80 games.
  • Luke Jackson, RHP, Rangers (High-A Myrtle Beach): 5 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 12 K. Highly inconsistent, but still has the ability to do this once in a while.
  • Max Kepler, OF, Twins (Rookie-level Elizabethton): 2-for-4, HR (2), R, 2 RBI, K. Home runs in back-to-back games and .307/.455/.477 line with 18 walks and just 10 strikeouts in 88 at-bats.
  • Jake Marisnick, OF, Blue Jays (Double-A New Hampshire): 2-for-5, 2B, R, RBI. Fourth straight two-hit game; up to .277/.320/.426 in 12 games.
  • Tyler Marlette, C, Mariners (Rookie-level Pulaski): 3-for-4, 2 2B, 2 R, 2 RBI. Sleeper catcher in the system with compact swing and arm strength; .299/.330/.425 in 23 games.
  • Nick Maronde, LHP, Angels (High-A Inland Empire): 7 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 10 K. Full-season debut has been injury-plagued, but he's still showing plus velo and a good slider.
  • Francisco Martinez, 3B, Mariners (Double-A Jackson): 3-for-5, HR (2), 2 R, 2 RBI. First game for Jackson in almost six weeks (hamstring), but still a disappointing .261/.335/.354 on the season.
  • Hunter Morris, 1B, Brewers (Double-A Huntsville): 1-for-3, HR (15), R, RBI, K. Trying to prove he can hit enough at a first base-only prospect; .390/.435/.750 in 26 games since the All-Star Break and .314/.369/.552 overall.
  • Matt Szczur, OF, Cubs (High-A Daytona): 3-for-4, 2 R, 2 RBI. Very streaky hitter on another run; hard to get that excited about a 23-year-old in High-A hitting .281/.380/.397.
  • Michael Taylor, OF, Athletics (Triple-A Sacramento): 3-for-6, HR (9), R, 2 RBI, K. Another hot streak with a 12-game hitting streak and home runs in three of his last four games; .316/.420/.490 overall.
  • Tyrone Taylor, OF, Brewers (Rookie-level Helena): 3-for-4, 2 2B, R, BB. Second-round pick has huge tools and is hitting much more than expected; 14-for-30 since move to Pioneer League.
  • Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Cubs (Rookie-level AZL Cubs): 2-for-5, 3B, HR (7), R, 3 RBI. Has impressed with contact ability; .360/.423/.779 in 20 games.
  • Tony Wolters, SS/2B, Indians (High-A Carolina): 4-for-5, R, RBI. Recovering from ugly first half with .356/.396/.500 line in 22 games since All-Star break; .262/.321/.377 overall.
  • Mike Zunino, C, Mariners (Short-season Everett): 3-for-4, 2 HR (3), 2 R, 2 RBI. So far so good for third overall pick; 17 total bases in first four pro games.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Matt Den Dekker

28 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

nolansdad

Kevin, thoughts on Martinez's defensive position? He's been much better at 3B this year than last, but M's had him play several innings in CF while he was in the AZL rehabbing the hammy.

I've heard great reviews on his defense at third, but is he a better fit in the outfield in your opinion?

Jul 18, 2012 11:02 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I think he could work at 3rd, but nothing wrong with giving him some flexibility.

Jul 18, 2012 14:25 PM
 
kaestner

Ceiling/realistic upside for Tyrone Taylor? I know he's far away, but the tools seem exciting.

Jul 18, 2012 11:07 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Ceiling is huge, and there really is no realistic upside right now. He could never get past Double-A. Better that he's hitting than not.

Jul 18, 2012 14:25 PM
 
ttt

What do you mean by "no realistic upside?" Does that mean that he has an incredibly high upside but he's so raw you cannot give a realistic read on what it may be? Thanks!

Jul 18, 2012 15:38 PM
rating: 1
 
David Xavier Marquez

Hey Kevin, I posted on your last report, which SS has the highest ceiling? Baez, Segura, Hanson, or Lindor?

Jul 18, 2012 11:22 AM
rating: 0
 
mschroeder14

Chances Gary Brown gets a look this year?

Jul 18, 2012 11:59 AM
rating: 0
 
Daddyboy

Could Kepler be the mythical player Jason Parks was looking for?

Jul 18, 2012 12:15 PM
rating: 1
 
Mtn Jam

Have you ever seen anything like Shaq Green-Thompson's line before? Not that BP readers need a reminder, but in case you do, baseball is a tough sport....

Jul 18, 2012 12:16 PM
rating: 2
 
thegeneral13

0-32 with 31 K's to start his pro career, for those who don't feel like looking it up. This is around the time your little league coach starts giving you the bunt sign every time up.

Jul 18, 2012 12:26 PM
rating: 4
 
Mtn Jam

5 more Ks today...Still, for 100m, it's a worthwhile investment for the Red Sox.

Jul 18, 2012 12:39 PM
rating: 0
 
delatopia

I sure hope you mean 100k and not 100m.

Jul 18, 2012 18:39 PM
rating: 2
 
Mtn Jam

Yea, same thing. I work in finance, force of habit. 100m = $100,000...100mm = $100,000,000. Sorry for the confusion.

Jul 19, 2012 05:06 AM
rating: 1
 
whanson

Even with the bases empty

Jul 18, 2012 19:06 PM
rating: 0
 
Scott44

Castellanos went yard again but still playing RF. What is the rationale to moving him to RF when he is a better defender at 3rd than Cabrera?

Jul 18, 2012 13:36 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

A. Cabrera isn't bad. B. Where do you put Cabrera?

Jul 18, 2012 14:26 PM
 
Shaun P.
(676)

For Giavotella, I know the PCL is a great hitters league, but is Omaha that good a hitter's park that maybe the Royals are discounting his numbers? I just can't figure out why they won't give the guy a legit chance in the bigs.

What's the scouting world's take on 2008 50th round pick lefty Nik Turley in the Yanks' system? He's 22, been in the low minors for ever, and the FSL is certainly a pitcher's league, but still: 73.1 IP, 80K, 27 BB, only 3 HR allowed looks impressive. Is the stuff real?

Thanks KG!

Jul 18, 2012 15:05 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I know they're not thrilled with his glove, and that's understandable on some level, but the bat is being wasted. Turley is more than a 50th round pick as he got 150K. Decent fastball curve combo, some relief possibilities.

Jul 18, 2012 17:38 PM
 
SGreenwell

While the hit tool might be in question, there is no doubting that Hazelbaker is a fine name. In fact, I might give a future child that as a first name, if the wife decides to veto Roughened or Callix.

Jul 18, 2012 15:16 PM
rating: -1
 
SidsGraphs

Hard to get excited about Brown struggling for 1/2 a season and he will be 24 next month and doing just okay at AA. Seems like Brown gets a pass for his age/level.

Jul 18, 2012 15:49 PM
rating: 1
 
Hendo

The only reason I can think for Goodwin to stay in low-A Hagerstown is that the Nats don't want him risking an injury in the superannuated outfield at high-A Pfitzner Stadium, which is booked for closure after 2013, and don't feel a five-week trip to Harrisburg would be worth the effort. My guess is we'll see him at Arizona Fall League come October.

Jul 18, 2012 16:41 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I've heard worse theories.

Jul 18, 2012 17:39 PM
 
BillJohnson

So how to reconcile the fact that Adams is just destroying AAA pitching with his mediocre showing as a Lance Berkman replacement? Is the difference between AAA pitching and major-league pitching really that great? Small sample size? Something else? It doesn't seem as though other AAA sluggers see their numbers drop off that dramatically in the Show, even allowing for park effects.

Jul 18, 2012 19:41 PM
rating: -1
 
delatopia

Holy christ, don't you remember Anthony Rizzo falling flat on his face last year with the Padres? It happens!

Jul 18, 2012 22:35 PM
rating: 8
 
Behemoth

The difference between most AAA pitching and most major league pitching really is that great. There are loads of AAA sluggers who can't produce in the big leagues, or, at least, take several shots to get going.

Jul 19, 2012 04:31 AM
rating: 2
 
azynkewl

Vogelbach is raking. What's keeping him from being promoted? Defense?

Jul 19, 2012 06:48 AM
rating: 0
 
kddean

Moreso, we need video of his triple and that stolen base he had last week.

Jul 19, 2012 08:00 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

The complete lack of a need to promote him.

Jul 19, 2012 10:19 AM
 
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