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June 12, 2012

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of June 11

by Kevin Goldstein

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Marcel Ozuna, OF, Marlins (High-A Jupiter): 3-for-5, 2 HR (15), 2 R, 6 RBI.

It's hard to call someone the hottest hitter in the game based on two nights, but how about five home runs and 12 RBIs over that stretch? That was enough to raise the 21-year-old Dominican's OPS 90 points to .261/.332/.513, and he certainly has an intriguing tools combination of
raw power and arm strength that both earn 70 scores on the 20-to-80 scale. There's still plenty of debate over just how much Ozuna's hit tool will develop, but he's not a pure whiff machine, and even at a .260 batting average, he could provide plenty of value.

Others Of Note:

  • Jorge Bonifacio, OF, Royals (Low-A Kane County): 3-for-5, HR (5), R, 4 RBI. Recovering from June slump; .306/.368/.449 in 61 games.
  • Edwar Cabrera, LHP, Rockies (Double-A Tulsa): 7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 5 K. Bouncing back from recent rough patch; 3.25 ERA with .192 opponent's average and one of the best changeups around.
  • Patrick Corbin, LHP, Diamondbacks (Triple-A Reno): 7 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 8 K. Pitching well, but does Trevor Bauer get the next call?
  • C.J. Cron, 1B, Angels (High-A Inland Empire): Hitting .354 in last 40 games after ugly April; .300/.341/.492 overall but also hasn't drawn a walk in 16 games.
  • Travis D'Arnaud, C, Blue Jays (Triple-A Las Vegas): 2-for-5, 2B, HR (14), R, 2 RBI. Up to .333/.383/.593 overall and could force the Blue Jays to make a tough decision at some point in the second half.
  • Tim Federowicz, C, Dodgers (Triple-A Albuquerque): 3-for-5, 2 2B, 3 R, 2 RBI, K. Explosion of A.J. Ellis makes his future a bit cloudy; 8-for-13 in last three games and .292/.350/.503 overall.
  • Scooter Gennett, 2B, Brewers (Double-A Huntsville): 2-for-3, 2 2B, BB, CS; 1-for-4, 2B; Has been steadily over .300 for last three weeks; .304/.353/.412 overall.
  • Garrett Gould, RHP, Dodgers (High-A Rancho Cucamonga): 6.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 6 K. Has been hit around a bit while also missing plenty of bats; 4.71 ERA with 67 Ks in 63 innings.
  • Grant Green, OF, Athletics (Triple-A Sacramento): 2-for-5, R, K, CS. 18-for-35 during seven-game hitting streak to lift batting average 38 points; .304/.339/.467 overall, but profiles changes considerably if he's in left instead of center.
  • Miles Head, 3B, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 4-for-4, HR (13), R, 3 RBI, BB. 10-for-20 in last five games and .379/.433/.671 overall; a bat-only guy, but it's quite a bat.
  • Adeiny Hechavarria, SS, Blue Jays (Triple-A Las Vegas): 2-for-4, 2B, 2 R, BB. Fifth straight two-hit game; .327/.375/.455 overall but much of it cames from destroying lefties (.434/.485/.576).
  • Starling Marte, OF, Pirates (Triple-A Indianapolis): 3-for-5, 2B, 3B, R, 2 RBI, K. Has been coming on strong of late with .947 OPS in 11 June games; .269/.325/.462 in 58 games.
  • Shelby Miller, RHP, Cardinals (Triple-A Memphis): 4 IP, 5 H, 6 R, 2 BB, 7 K. Continues to be plagued by the long ball as he's given up 14 in 61.1 innings; 5.72 ERA and scouting reports just aren't close to last year's.
  • Julio Morban, OF, Mariners (High-A High Desert): 1-for-3, HR (13), R, 3 RBI, K. 20-year-old Dominican is taking advantage of environment but has definite offensive upside; five home runs in last eight games and .343/.389/.651 overall.
  • Wil Myers, OF, Royals (Triple-A Omaha): 1-for-3, HR (9), 2 R, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 2 K. Six home runs in last 11 games and .340/.398/.734 in 25 games since promotion; still profiles better in a corner than center.
  • Justin Nicolino, LHP, Blue Jays (Low-A Lansing): 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 6 K. Season-high Ks but also first outing with more than one walk allowed; 1.34 ERA with 45/9 K/BB in 47 innings.
  • Mike Olt, 3B, Rangers (Double-A Frisco): 2-for-3, R, 2 RBI, 2 BB, K. Kind of weird to see him hit just singles after last week's seven home runs; .311/.414/.622 overall.
  • Chris Reed, LHP, Dodgers (Double-A Chattanooga): 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 3 K. Six hitless innings in two Double-A outings.
  • Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Cubs (Triple-A Iowa): 3-for-4, 2B, 2 HR (22), 2 R, 4 RBI, K. Less than two weeks before service time is no longer an issue; .370/.430/.753 in 59 games.
  • Miguel Sano, 3B, Twins (Low-A Beloit): 2-for-5, HR (15), R, 4 RBI, 2 K. Strikeouts have finally dropped the batting average but power remains other-worldly; .243/.351/.517 in 63 games.
  • Drew Vettleson, OF, Rays (Low-A Bowling Green): 3-for-4, 2B, R, RBI, BB, K, CS. Good hit tool, but people are unsure as to how much he'll do around it; .286/.359/.433 in 61 games.

 

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Triple-A

13 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

comeonletsgo

Any idea as to why the huge home/road splits for Sano? .184/.298/.417 in 29 games at home vs .291/.393/.598 34 games away.

Jun 12, 2012 10:37 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

No thoughts there, just seems like a weird little thing. I'm hoping to see him tomorrow, actually.

Jun 12, 2012 18:48 PM
 
evo34

How much has Shelby Miller's velocity dropped this season?

Jun 12, 2012 11:14 AM
rating: 0
 
SGreenwell

I believe that in the most recent episode of the podcast, they said he was around 91 to 93, and one blog had him at 90 to 93 according to Keith Law.

Jun 12, 2012 16:28 PM
rating: 0
 
timber

Since Rizzo already has some service time, isn't his service time issue more than two weeks away?

Jun 12, 2012 11:28 AM
rating: 0
 
LynchMob

I know I'm VERY fuzzy on this concept ... but I hope it's because the concept itself is fuzzy ... doesn't some % of players get tag'd "Super 2" each season? So the game is for teams to wait to call up their top prospects until enough non-prospects have been called up to make it likely that they are the ones tag'd "Super 2" ... right?

So my guess is that KG's comment is that all the best guessing / calculating done by folks with the full/big picture (including Rizzo's service time from last year) says that in about 2 weeks, Rizzo's very likely to NOT be a "Super 2" ...

Jun 12, 2012 12:28 PM
rating: 1
 
mmg3327

Here's what I read on CBSsports.com: "Though Cubs president Theo Epstein has said in the past that service time isn't an issue, it really does seem to be. Considering Rizzo's time spent in the majors last season for the Padres, 104 days of service time this year would start his free agency clock one year earlier than 103 days would (hat-tip ESPN Chicago). The Cubs' last game this season is Oct. 3, so my calculations say Friday, June 22 is when the Cubs can call him up -- assuming this is a consideration." KG, is that right?

Jun 12, 2012 12:39 PM
rating: 3
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

My understanding is Late June. I don't have an exact date for you, and I'd hate to see people fixating on an exact date.

Jun 12, 2012 18:49 PM
 
LynchMob

re: Rizzo ... then there's this (also from CBS) ...

Cubs first base prospect Anthony Rizzo left Tuesday's game with Triple-A Iowa after suffering an apparent right leg injury, according to the Des Moines Register. Rizzo suffered the injury when he slid into the dugout fence while attempting to catch a popup. The severity of the injury is unclear. He was also hit by a pitch on the right arm during Monday's game, but didn't miss any playing time. Rizzo is hitting a staggering .370 with 22 homers and 57 RBI in 59 games for Iowa, however, there is still no timetable for his promotion to the majors, according to CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman.

Jun 12, 2012 13:23 PM
rating: 0
 
Infrancoeurgible

I wouldn't be worried about Shelby Miller. Like Jason Parks says, he's a Texan. A hittable one currently, but a Texan nonetheless.

Jun 12, 2012 14:11 PM
rating: 0
 
mwashuc06

Shelby Miller's drop reminds me of Phil Hughes drop off when he was the same age. Velocity went from the mid 90's to low 90's and Hughes never has been able to get that 1 or 2 ceiling scouts pegged on him early on.

Jun 12, 2012 17:47 PM
rating: 0
 
sldeck

No props for Adam Lind? 3 HRs and 2 doubles in last two games and a June line of .435/.471/.739

Jun 13, 2012 05:17 AM
rating: 1
 
BERSMR

Any thoughts on when the Rangers are likely to promote Olt to AAA? While he is blocked at the major league level, at 23 going on 24 I would think that you would want to get him to the cusp of the majors as soon as possible. Other that striking out a bit more than you might like, it would seem that there is little more for him to prove in AA.

Jun 13, 2012 08:33 AM
rating: 0
 
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