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October 9, 2011

Future Shock Blog

NLCS Preview: Scouting Hindsight Edition

by Kevin Goldstein

Continunig from yesterday, here's some quick scouting hindsight fun with the NLCS participents, looking at how some of the industry saw players in the nascent stages of their respective careers.

 
 
John Axford, P: He should have signed out of high school, as Notre Dame was nothing but walks and injuries. Oh, the Brewers picked him up? Whatever.
Ryan Braun, OF: Well, I'm glad Miami got him off shortstop, but third base isn't going to work either. In the end, it's won't matter as the bat will play anywhere.
Prince Fielder, 1B: The Brewers took the fat kid at seven? Hysterical.
Zack Greinke, P: A really unique kid, a little weird maybe, but as mature an approach to pitching as any minor leaguer you'll see.
Mark Kotsay, OF/1B: One of the best two-way college players in recent memory. Even if he somehow fails to become a star, he'll last a long time on makeup alone.
Nyjer Morgan, OF: One of those guys who was 22 when he signed, and didn't exactly shoot through the system, so now he's 27 in Triple-A and just an organization type.
Rickie Weeks, 2B: Brewers are stuck with him because the Rays took Delmon.
 
 
Rafael Furcal, SS: He would have stolen 100 bases in '99 if not for the injury. He'll never hit more than five home runs in a season, but he could win the stolen base crown every year.
Matt Holliday, OF: Man, the Rockies gave him a ton of cash. Maybe should have let him play football, because he kind of looks like another Choo Freeman to me.
Edwin Jackson, P: Look, the kid beat Randy Johnson in his debut and has electric stuff. He sure looks like at ace to me.
Jon Jay, OF: It's tweener skills where he doesn't have enough bat for a corner or enough range to play center. Doesn't matter anyway with Rasmus around.
Jason Motte, C: That kid has a remarkable arm. He just shuts down the running game from behind the plate. Too bad he can't hit a lick.
Albert Pujols, 1B: Some Dominican kid at a JUCO near them . . . I guess he can hit a bit. What? No, we didn't see him.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

12 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

ScottyB

I LOOOOOOVE this feature. Keep up the great work

Oct 09, 2011 10:05 AM
rating: 7
 
Tim Carvin

I would pay large sums of money to read an Albert Pujols tell-all one day

Oct 09, 2011 15:49 PM
rating: 1
 
Lloyd Cole

Even better than the first one! Really special pieces that I don't think most people could (or would) write. Thanks.

Oct 09, 2011 19:02 PM
rating: 1
 
bonzosa

Where did the Prince comment come from, Deadspin?
That's just ridiculous if it came from a "credible" source.

Oct 09, 2011 19:21 PM
rating: 0
 
cbirkemeier

I believe there was something to that effect in Moneyball.

Oct 09, 2011 19:51 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

That was the very real industry reaction. You think Prince is big now, he's downright svelte compared to high school, when he weighed as much as 330 at times.

Oct 09, 2011 23:03 PM
 
IvanGrushenko

Are you saying Pujols can't stick at 3B? Is there something wrong with his elbow?

Oct 09, 2011 22:55 PM
rating: 1
 
John Carter

This series was lots of fun. It would be really important, if one systematically compared how many players hit or pitched very impressive stats that were never lived up to in the majors vs. players who had unimpressive stats at some point, then grew into a solid major leaguer... not for the sake of the scouts vs. stats argument, but to see what scouting comments and stats are most relevant and the degree any hold over others.

Oct 10, 2011 07:50 AM
rating: 0
 
timber

Wasn't Greinke thought by many teams to be a shortstop, not a pitcher?

Oct 10, 2011 08:42 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

No. He was a third baseman first off, and a very good one, one who would have been an early pick, but by the end of his senior year, it was clear that pitching was the much brighter future.

Oct 10, 2011 09:27 AM
 
jhardman

Will there be an ALCS version of this?

Oct 10, 2011 10:55 AM
rating: 0
 
Ian Miller

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15267

Oct 10, 2011 12:13 PM
rating: 1
 
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Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: AL... (10/08)
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