CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Clubhouse Confidential... (05/10)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Min... (05/10)
Next Column >>
Future Shock Blog: Min... (05/12)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Value Pi... (05/11)

May 11, 2011

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of May 10

by Kevin Goldstein

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Jeurys Familia, RHP, Mets (Double-A Binghamton): 7 IP, 5 H, 2 R (1 ER), 0 BB, 6 K

The Mets do have some good news in the farm at least, especially when it comes to power-armed righties Matt Harvey (who struggled last night) and Familia, who delivered an excellent Double-A debut last night. The stuff was always there for the 21-year-old Dominican, but the fact that he's suddenly harnessing it, and without a single blip in seven starts, should be a cause for plenty of optimism, as he's coming to the table every night with plus to plus-plus velocity and a good slider.

Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Royals (High-A Wilmington): 6 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 13 K

Quickly becoming a constant feature at the top of this report every time he throws, Odorizzi has whiffed 41 over 25 innings in his last four starts while giving up just 14 hits and five walks. I've received plenty of questions about his stuff taking a step forward, and it hasn't. He's still in the low-90s while touching 94-95 on occasion, and he's still throwing a good curveball and solid change. This isn't about a jump in stuff, it's more about a jump in pitchability, and those can be just as important for a pitcher's future.

Allen Webster, RHP, Dodgers (High-A Rancho Cucamonga): 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 7 K

I recently mentioned my regret about not putting Robbie Erlin in this year's Top 101 prospects, and Webster is another one of those guys. With a low-to-mid 90s fastball, plus changeup and solid breaking ball, he's not only pitching well, but doing it in the Southern Division of the California League. In his last four starts, the 21-year-old has allowed two runs over 25 innings, and the scouting reports are as impressive as the stats.

Others Of Note:

  • Dustin Ackley, 2B, Mariners (Triple-A Tacoma): 2-for-4, 2B, R, RBI, BB, K. Five game hitting streak with two doubles and two home runs ups averages to .237/.362/.393.
  • Manny Banuelos, LHP, Yankees (Double-A Trenton): 5 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 5 K. Earned his first credit victory since, believe it or not, August of 2009.
  • Bryce Brentz, OF, Red Sox (Low-A Greenville): 3-for-5, 2 2B, R, RBI, K. Featured yesterday; 22-game hitting streak has him up to .364/.427/.643.
  • Gary Brown, OF, Giants (High-A San Jose): 3-for-5, 3 R, 2 SB. 12-for-19 in his last four games and .366/.444/.496 overall in 31; could be in Double-A soon and in San Francisco at some point in 2012.
  • Matt Carpenter, 3B, Cardinals (Triple-A Memphis): 3-for-4, 2 2B, R, RBI, BB, K. Has reached base 28 times in his last ten games to lift season averages to .307/.454/.416; is lack of power that big a deal when you are making so few outs?
  • Dusty Coleman, SS, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 2-for-5, 2B, HR (5), 2 R, 5 RBI, K. Combination of health, hitting skills and ability to play shortstop are doing wonders for his stock; .278/.370/.492 in 31 games.
  • Rubby De La Rosa, RHP, Dodgers (Double-A Chattanooga): 7 IP, 2 H, 1 R (0 ER), 3 BB, 8 K. Has struck out 25 over 19 innings in his last three starts while throwing in the upper 90s; Dodgers' bullpen woes have to create some temptation.
  • Todd Frazier, 3B, Reds (Triple-A Louisville): 3-for-4, 2 2B, K. Eight hits and 18 total bases in last three games up averages to .277/.351/.555; deserves a look in Cincy at the hot corner.
  • Jedd Gyorko, 3B, Padres (High-A Lake Elsinore): 2-for-5, 2B, HR (6), 2 R, 2 RBI, 2 K. Has reached base in 29 of 32 games as part of .367/.442/.625 line.
  • Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals (Low-A Hagerstown): 2-for-5, RBI, 2 K. Fifth straight two-hit game; .377/.459/.679 overall.
  • Fernando Martinez, OF, Mets (Triple-A Buffalo): 2-for-5, HR (3), R, RBI. Home runs in back-to-back games and .292/.361/.477 overall; as usual, when he's healthy, he's good.
  • Mike Minor, LHP, Braves (Triple-A Gwinnett): 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 8 K. Six-for-six in good starts and a 1.82 ERA with 43 strikeouts in 39.2 innings.
  • Matt Moore, LHP, Rays (Double-A Montgomery): 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 7 K. 24 strikeouts over 17 innings in last three starts while allowing just seven hits; could play a big role in 2012 big league rotation.
  • Rafael Ortega, OF, Rockies (Low-A Ashville): 4-for-5, 2 2B, HR (1), 2 R, 5 RBI. Starting to look like the player that impressed Pioneer League scouts last year; 13-for-23 in last five games and .310/.357/.397 overall.
  • Jarrod Parker, RHP, Diamondbacks (Double-A Mobile): 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R (0 ER), 2 BB, 4 K. Best start since return from Tommy John surgery, but still struggling with command.
  • Tyler Pastornicky, SS, Braves (Double-A Mississippi): 2-for-4, HR (3), 2 R, 2 RBI, K, SB. Three home runs in last six games and up to .310/.362/.457. Deserves more attention than he gets, as he's a true shortstop with plus speed.
  • Martin Perez, LHP, Rangers (Double-A Frisco): 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 4 K. Even his good outings seem to create more questions than answers, as he's walked 14 over 20 innings in his last four starts.
  • Addison Reed, RHP, White Sox (High-A Winston-Salem): 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K. 2010 third-round pick has whiffed 24 in 19 innings while allowing just 12 hits and three walks; scouts think he could reach the big leagues very quickly with mid-90s heat and plus slider.
  • Edinson Rincon, 3B, Padres (High-A Lake Elsinore): 3-for-5, HR (3), 2 R, RBI, K. 20-year-old Dominican seems to be taking much anticipated step forward with the bat; .350/.388/.528 in 31 games.
  • Hayden Simpson, RHP, Cubs (Low-A Peoria): 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 K. Left game w/ tightness in his shoulder.
  • Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Diamondbacks (High-A Visalia): 7 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 8 K. 32 strikeouts over 23.2 innings in last four starts and the new minor league leader with 53.
  • Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals (Low-A Quad Cities): 3-for-3, 2 R. Now 18-for-38 since returning from a hamstring injury and hitting a cool .500 (26-for-52) overall.
  • Trayce Thompson, OF, White Sox (Low-A Kannapolis) 2-for-4, 2B, HR (7), 2 R, 4 RBI; 1-for-4, 2 R, RBI, BB, K. Not much progress in the approach department, but tools still leave scouts intrigued; .238/.304/.437 in 31 games.
  • Mike Trout, OF, Angels (Double-A Arkansas): 3-for-5, 2 2B, R. Batting .467 (14-for-30) in May and .327/.415/.614 overall; running out of clever things to say about him (or maybe I just did).
  • Dayan Viciedo, OF, White Sox (Triple-A Charlotte): 4-for-5, 2B, HR (5), 2 R, 5 RBI, BB. The White Sox don't have much of a youth movement to start, but Viciedo's .303/.343/.496 line could help him begin it.
  • Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins (Low-A Greensboro): 4-for-5, 2B, 2 R, RBI, SB. 14-for-25 (.560) in last seven games and .321/.415/.481 overall; one of the better pure hitters in the 2010 draft, and certainly looking like it.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Triple-A,  Quad-a

36 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

sephrath

Trout is an Angel, not an Astro, but im sure the Astros minor league director got very excited!

May 11, 2011 10:44 AM
rating: 0
 
DMen

Kevin, before Astros fans go into a state of euphoria, you should correct Mike Trout's entry to reflect the fact that he plays for the LA Angels

May 11, 2011 10:47 AM
rating: 2
 
CRP13

Such a tease.

May 11, 2011 11:05 AM
rating: 3
 
Ian Miller

Pretty aggressive on Brown, but appropriate. Dude is destroying the Cal League.

May 11, 2011 10:49 AM
rating: -1
 
Soggy Burrito

I'd like to see Trout stick in Arkansas all year if only to see how his final numbers would compare to the full-season .275/.381/.551 (29 HRs, 18 SBs) that Colby Rasmus put on the Texas League as a 20-year old.

May 11, 2011 10:55 AM
rating: 0
 
timber

So if you put Erlin and Webster into the Top 101, who gets bumped out?

May 11, 2011 10:56 AM
rating: 0
 
timber

I should have said that I intuitively figured it would be #100 and #101 bumped, but what I really meant is are there any guys you "regret" including?

May 11, 2011 10:58 AM
rating: 0
 
Aramgh

Is there any update on Yelich's arm or if he's playing center? I know those and not his bat were the big questions going into the draft.

May 11, 2011 10:58 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

He's playing left, which is where he belongs.

May 11, 2011 11:08 AM
 
fandamage

Seems like the Padres have tons of hitting prospects who are having great starts to the season (Rizzo, Decker, Gyorko, Darnell, Rincon) but they all seem to be playing in offense-inflated environments (Lake Elsinore, San Antonio, Tucson)... To what extent do think these guys are for real, and to what extent are they products of their park/league?

May 11, 2011 11:00 AM
rating: 0
 
boards

San Antonio is not a high-run environment. I've been to many games over the years and the wind is typically blowing in. The park factors I've found indicate that The Wolff has a run park factor of .89 for 2010 and a 3-year average of .92. I haven't found any factors for 2011 but the Missions as a team are batting .301. I know they've had two games where they scored more than 20 runs (one in Midland which IS a high-run environment and another, I think, in Tulsa?).

All of that is to say that San Antonio has always been labelled as a high offense park when it really hasn't been since they moved into the new park in 1994.

May 11, 2011 11:47 AM
rating: 2
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

It has been this year.

May 11, 2011 11:51 AM
 
boards

Wow. Sure enough, they are averaging 6.89 runs at home and 7.16 overall. That's two runs above league average.

They have also outscored their opponents 229-131 so I think some of the offensive atmosphere is due to the team the Padres have assembled at AA. But, I stand corrected.

May 11, 2011 19:08 PM
rating: 0
 
G. Guest

Taveras also holds some wicked home/road splits in everything I can see other than GB% and a .558 BABIP. This data had kept me from posting a WATG for about a week.

May 11, 2011 11:02 AM
rating: 0
 
Dave Holgado

Is it me or does anybody else feel a string of oh-fers coming on for Ackley, now that he's once again raised our hopes a bit? Prospects will break your heart, indeed.

May 11, 2011 11:33 AM
rating: 2
 
lukejazz

Kevin,

Any thoughts on Justin Bour? He went into today at a .305/.385/.619 clip, with 9 homers and a 17/16 K/BB ratio in 118 ABs. After an ok showing in Peoria last season he really seems to be putting in all together at Daytona.

Thanks-

May 11, 2011 11:35 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Huge non-athlete, can't hit lefties. Fringy guy.

May 11, 2011 11:51 AM
 
Jrob0423

Can Tyler P. be the shortshop for the Braves in 2012 or do they need to find a stopgap over the winter ?

May 11, 2011 11:37 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I think they'll need a one year solution, and I could see them just bringing back Gonzalez for one year.

May 11, 2011 11:53 AM
 
Dave Holgado

KG, at first I thought it had something to do with recovery from a minor injury, but I now suspect that the Yankees are limiting the innings/pitches(?) of Banuelos the way they are in the hope that they can avoid shutting him down this fall (upon hitting some magic IP number) so that he can pitch some meaningful stretch run and playoff innings. (He only threw 90 innings between the minors and the AFL last season, so they'll probably only let him throw 140-150 this year.) Anything to this, or is there more to this story? E.g., have any of his short starts been due to inefficiency with his pitches? (I'm at an information disadvantage there, since the milb.com box scores for Eastern League games don't include pitch counts.) Many thanks for all your great work.

May 11, 2011 11:44 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

He's actually been working through a blister thing, so it's actually not a thing to read too much into.

May 11, 2011 11:52 AM
 
randolph3030

Interesting...so you don't think that the Yankees are limiting innings to make sure that he has some available for the Majors in Aug or Sept? The Manny Rules?

May 11, 2011 13:08 PM
rating: -1
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

He has a blister, no mystery or conspiracy theory needed. He's got a boo-boo and that's about it.

May 11, 2011 14:25 PM
 
ofMontreal

I guess that's a bit of a told-ya-so with Hayden Simpson. This guy has star-crossed written all over him.

May 11, 2011 12:14 PM
rating: 0
 
G. Guest

Do Odorizzi, Familia and Webster all look like different types of solid third starters?

May 11, 2011 12:53 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

There's some 2 ceilings in there, but I'd bet you get a 2, 3 and 4 out of the trio.

May 11, 2011 14:24 PM
 
Matt Kory

Brentz is destroying low A, which is great, but he's 22 years old. If he's any kind of prospect he should be, right?

May 11, 2011 13:34 PM
rating: 0
 
Mtn Jam

Yea. I think it's the type of situation where crushing it doesn't prove much but if he struggled then it would lead to some concern.

May 11, 2011 13:55 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Yeah, the good news here is that he's recovered from last year's unreal bad debut.

May 11, 2011 14:26 PM
 
Matt Kory

I'd assume based on his age and performance to date he is in line for a promotion to High A sometime soon with the goal of getting him a cup of coffee in AA. There aren't a lot of great 23 year old prospects starting the season in High A.

May 11, 2011 14:31 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I doubt he'll get to Double-A, it's his first full-season. It's not out of the realm of possibilities.

May 11, 2011 14:47 PM
 
dkarpis

Kevin,

Would you consider adding the prospects' ages to the little info blurb (age, position, team, league) after their names?

It would make evaluation-at-a-glance easier.

Thank you.

May 11, 2011 15:29 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Not saying it's a bad idea, just saying it's more work for something that already stretches my week considerably.

May 11, 2011 19:28 PM
 
BillJohnson

Alas, Oscar Taveras re-injured a hamstring while getting his average up to .500, according to reports from Iowa, and will be out again for a while.

May 11, 2011 15:48 PM
rating: 0
 
Mike

KG, do you think the shoulder tightness is related to Hayden Simpson's inability to throw over 90 MPH?

May 12, 2011 06:47 AM
rating: 0
 
brucegilsen
(999)

Kevin, every time I see a writeup of Matt Carpenter I wonder, is David Freese a good comp?

May 15, 2011 10:34 AM
rating: 0
 
You must be a Premium subscriber to post a comment.
Not a subscriber? Sign up today!
<< Previous Article
Clubhouse Confidential... (05/10)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Min... (05/10)
Next Column >>
Future Shock Blog: Min... (05/12)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Value Pi... (05/11)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
The BP Wayback Machine: Can Spring Training ...
Fantasy Article The Adjuster: Relief Pitchers
Fantasy Article Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Relief Pitch...
Fantasy Article The -Only League Landscape: American League ...
Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Don't Call It A Committee!
The Lineup Card: Nine Ways to Improve Your F...
Fantasy Article Player Profile: David Robertson

MORE FROM MAY 11, 2011
Premium Article Collateral Damage: Elbowed Out and Shouldere...
Spinning Yarn: Speed Traps
Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run: Hot Starts Revisited...
Premium Article Divide and Conquer, AL East: The Perpetual R...
Premium Article On the Beat: Dodger Dilemma
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Value Picks in the Outfield
Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Bud's Breakout

MORE BY KEVIN GOLDSTEIN
2011-05-13 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-12 - Premium Article Future Shock: Second Thoughts on Hosmer
2011-05-12 - Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-11 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-11 - BP Podcast: Episode 49: It's Hot And I Have ...
2011-05-10 - Premium Article Future Shock: The Simpson and Walker Show
2011-05-10 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
More...

MORE FUTURE SHOCK BLOG
2011-05-17 - Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-13 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-12 - Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-11 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-10 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-06 - Premium Article Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
2011-05-05 - Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Game...
More...