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May 5, 2011

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of May 4

by Kevin Goldstein

Gustavo Nunez, SS, Tigers (High-A Lakeland): 5-for-6

Nunez had a breakout season in 2009, when he hit .315/.360/.425 in the Midwest League, but everything crashed to the ground last year when he collapsed to .222/.263/.281 in the Florida State League. A bit old for the league as a 23-year-old repeater, he's suddenly looking like the 2009 version, going 12-for-25 in his last five games to lift his season averages to .363/.411/.559 in 24 games. An above-average defensive shortstop with plus speed, nearly anything with the bat could put him on a much faster track.

Allen Webster, RHP, Dodgers (High-A Rancho Cucamonga): 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 7 K

The No. 7 prospect in the Dodgers system, Webster doesn't get much hype, but he's a highly mature product for 21, with all of his pitches rating as average-to-plus, and an especially impressive changeup. He's allowed just one run over 18 innings in his last three starts, but what makes the run so impressive is that the last two outings, which consist of 15 strikeouts over 11 shutout innings, took place at High Desert and Lancaster, the two best hitting environments in all of the minor leagues. He deserves pitcher of the week in all of the minors just for that accomplishment.

Others Of Note:

  • Scott Beerer, OF, Rockies (Double-A Tulsa): 2-for-3, HR (4), 2 R, 2 RBI, BB, SB. 28-year-old converted pitcher is a bat-only guy; 11-for-18 in last five games and .313/.352/.552 on the season.
  • Dellin Betances, RHP, Yankees (Double-A Trenton): 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 5 K. Arm still getting stretched out in just third start of the season.
  • Robert Bundy, RHP, Orioles (High-A Frederick): 5.2 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 8 K. The next Orioles right-hander with a power sinker; 30 strikeouts in 24.2 innings but secondary stuff needs work.
  • Yordy Cabrera, SS, Athletics (Low-A Burlington): 3-for-7, 2B, R, RBI, 2 K, SB. Supplemental first-round pick seems to be finding his swing; 7-for-14 in last three games and up to .283/.328/.417.
  • Dusty Coleman, SS, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 2-for-6, HR (4), 2 R, RBI, 3 K. Home runs in three of last four games and up to .288/.375/.490; could go from sleeper to prospect quickly at this pace.
  • Rubby De La Rosa, RHP, Dodgers (Double-A Chattanooga): 6 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 7 K. Hardest thrower in the Dodgers system has been consistently touching the upper 90s with some triple digit readings on the gun; some scouts still like him better in the bullpen and think he could pitch there now in the big leagues.
  • Randall Delgado, RHP, Braves (Double-A Mississippi): 7 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 3 K. Complete game victory in double-header game; 2.51 ERA in six starts and scouts so a No. 3 big league starter as his floor.
  • Neftali Feliz, RHP, Rangers (Double-A Frisco): 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 K. He's just fine.
  • Reymond Fuentes, OF, Padres (High-A Lake Elsinore): 2-for-5, 2B, K, SB. Eleven multi-hit games in 23 starts and overall line of .313/.343/.404; needs a more patient approach to profile as leadoff hitter.
  • Cole Gillespie, OF, Diamondbacks (Triple-A Reno) 2-for-5, 3B, SB. Not an especially good prospect, nor an especially fast one, but that's nine triple in 24 games as part of .396/.473/.677 season line.
  • Cameron Greathouse, LHP, Cubs (Low-A Peoria): 7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 8 K. Talked about as a sleeper on this week's podcast; potential left on left specialist.
  • Grant Green, SS, Athletics (Double-A Midland): 3-for-5. Officially white-hot; 20-for-43 during ten-game hitting streak and .288/.344/.405 overall.
  • Matt Harvey, RHP, Mets (High-A St. Lucie): 6.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 9 K. Recovers from his one bad start with a doozy; 1.10 ERA in six games with 39 strikeouts in 32.2 innings.
  • L.J. Hoes, 2B, Orioles (High-A Frederick): 5-for-5, 2B, 2 R, RBI. Bouncing back from horrible start and one great night puts him up to .263/.311/.411.
  • Eric Hosmer, 1B, Royals (Triple-A Omaha): 3-for-5, RBI, BB, K. It's getting a bit ridiculous; 19-for-31(.613) in last eight games and .439/.525/.582 overall as the pressure rises in Kansas City.
  • Jiwan James, OF, Phillies (High-A Clearwater): Tools are still nuts, but how long to we wait for them to click? 11-for-29 during six-game hitting streak and .280/.327/.400 on the season.
  • Casey Kelly, RHP, Padres (Double-A San Antonio): 7 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 4 K. Longest start as a Padre and 10 groundball outs; 3.78 ERA in six starts.
  • John Lamb, LHP, Royals (Double-A Northwest Arkansas): 6 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 3 K. Second straight excellent start as he's finally 100%.
  • Jordon Lyles, RHP, Astros (Triple-A Oklahoma City): 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 9 K. Triple-A struggles seem to be behind him; 19 IP, 11 H, 4 BB, 20 K in last three starts.
  • Matt Moore, LHP, Rays (Double-A Montgomery): 5 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 9 K. Best start of the season lowers ERA to 4.60, but peripherals, including 41 strikeouts and just six walks in 29.1 innings, have been outstanding all year.
  • Wil Myers, OF, Royals (Double-A Northwest Arkansas): 3-for-4, K. Back in action after missing more than a week; .283/.328/.434 in 14 games.
  • Tyler Pastornicky, SS, Braves (Double-A Mississippi): 3-for-5, 2B, HR (1), 2 R, RBI, K; 3-for-5, 2B, HR (2), 2 R, 3 RBI, K. Power isn't part of his package, but home runs in back-to-back games and 11-for-24 in last five; .310/.364/.430 overall as true defensive shortstop with plus speed.
  • Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Padres (Triple-A Tucson): 2-for-4, 2B, HR (9), R, 3 RBI. Home runs in back-to-back games as .402/.458/.757 overall; some of it is the park, but some of it is real growth as well as he's learning to hit for both average and power.
  • Mike Ryal, LHP, Indians (Low-A Lake County): 7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 11 K. Six-foot-five lefty with command and deception on average velocity fastball; could have relief possibilities down the road.
  • Adrian Salcedo, RHP, Twins (Low-A Beloit): 7 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 8 K. Low-90s fastball plays way up due to movement and command; trouble with breaking ball projection could limit him to No. 3 ceiling.
  • Mike Trout, OF, Angels (Double-A Arkansas): 3-for-4, RBI, CS. Back-to-back three hit games and .316/.379/.557 overall; strange that he has just four stolen bases, though.
  • Joe Wieland, RHP, Rangers (High-A Myrtle Beach): 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 13 K. Hardly the sexiest arm in the system, but pounds the strike zone with three average-to-plus pitches and has 41 strikeouts against just three walks in 31 innings.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Triple-A

34 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

ryankelly12

Is Kyle Jensen growing more legitimate in the eyes of scouts? I know he was once considered a first day draft prospect coming out of St. Mary's. He's now leading the FSL in OPS and HRs.

May 05, 2011 10:34 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Not in any big way. 23 and in Hi-A, WAY on the right side of the defensive spectrum.

May 05, 2011 11:10 AM
 
Ian Miller

Kila Ka'aihue: dead man walking.

May 05, 2011 10:38 AM
rating: -1
 
HankScorpio

Literally. He just got optioned.

May 05, 2011 15:01 PM
rating: 0
 
Ian Miller

Well, not literally.

But yeah, I totally called it.

May 05, 2011 15:55 PM
rating: 0
 
antoine6

How about Sebastian Valle? Up to a .288 AVG on the season, still presumably with a plus power tool, and defense. But 1 walk and 17 Ks. Does that profile still get him to the bigs as a catcher?

May 05, 2011 10:39 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

The approach as always been a concern, and I hope you're not saying he's a plus defender, because he's not. His bat definitely could get him to the big leagues, but there's still plenty of work to do.

May 05, 2011 11:09 AM
 
dianagram

KG .... what is the "super 2" date for 2011? (i.e. when will Royals (or another team) be able to call up Hosmer (or their respective hot prospect) without having him become a Super 2?)

May 05, 2011 10:41 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Don't know exactly, but should be end of May.

May 05, 2011 11:11 AM
 
acmcdowell

With more and more teams "gaming the system" with Super 2 status, couldn't that actually push back the deadline? If I remember correctly, isn't it awarded to a certain percentage of players with the most playing time, but would otherwise be pre-arb?

May 05, 2011 11:48 AM
rating: 2
 
Jivas
(649)

Great question - I've always wondered this. I think it's the first 20% of players, if I recall.

I suspect the players who gain Super-2 status are relatively nondescript relief pitchers and utility infielders/4th outfielder types - the guys that teams aren't really *worried* about gaining Super-2 status. Unless there's some change in the number of those types of players in a given year, teams are probably going to be safe waiting until ~June 1 to bring up Buster Posey, Eric Hosmer, et al.

Would like to know if I'm wrong on that, though. :)

May 05, 2011 13:24 PM
rating: 1
 
Dave Holgado

It's actually the top 17 percent of players service time wise of all those with more than 2 but less than 3 years of service. Since demotions of some called up players in the same year or subsequent ones are inevitable, it's actually impossible to know with precision how long you need to wait, though you're right, June 1st has historically been safe. As for the nondescript relief pitcher thing, there have been prominent super 2'ers in recent years, including Tim Lincecum and Ryan Howard. Hosmer (!), as well as Brandon Belt if he continues to rake and force a quick recall, are likely to join that list.

May 05, 2011 19:46 PM
rating: 2
 
formersd

Wonder how long the Padres can hold out on Rizzo at this point, the natives were definitely restless at the game monday. A fan in the next section over kept yelling "Hey Hawpe, where's Rizzo?" during Hawpe's At-bats.

I commend them for their patience, but the Padres production at 1b is getting ridiculous...

May 05, 2011 10:56 AM
rating: 0
 
TheBunk

Nothing on Michael Crouse's big day? Figured for sure his line would get a mention.

May 05, 2011 11:02 AM
rating: -1
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

If I had to list every fringy prospect who went 2-for-4 with a home run, I'd be here all day.

May 05, 2011 11:13 AM
 
TheBunk

well there was also a double there and 2 SB to bring his total up to 14 on the year. I understand he probably won't be a burner in the majors because of his size. Still seems significant to me

May 05, 2011 11:38 AM
rating: -1
 
Peter7899

The other day there was an update on Matt Szczur, and it was noted that it was surprising he had only one steal so far considering how fast he is. Well, 4 steals in the past 3 games withought getting caught, it looks like he is getting comfortable on the base paths. Overall line of .366/.469/.439 in the Midwest League is looking very promising.

May 05, 2011 11:16 AM
rating: 0
 
Peter7899

Woops, misread that, that's his last 10 games line. .308/.398/.370 overall. At least he's trending in the right direction, amiright?!

May 05, 2011 11:18 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

He wasn't running early because he was recovering from a hamstring tweak. Jason and I have an argument about him towards the end of this week's podcast.

May 05, 2011 11:28 AM
 
SaberTJ

Kevin - is Wil Myers now exclusively an outfielder in the KC system? Wasn't he listed as a catcher in your Royals Prospect list?

May 05, 2011 11:25 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Moved to outfield during the offseason, which was the right thing to do.

May 05, 2011 11:28 AM
 
timber

Myers is done catching.

May 05, 2011 12:20 PM
rating: -1
 
acmcdowell

Has Mike Trout filled out over the last year? Could that explain his declining SB numbers, or do you think it is just a fluke?

May 05, 2011 11:46 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Need more data . . .

May 05, 2011 21:30 PM
 
dwalters

Thanks for the updates! Heard anything about Dusty Coleman's defense at SS so far?

May 05, 2011 11:56 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I really liked him two years ago here at Kane County, just needs to stay healthy. He's not spectacular at short, but he's good enough to stay there, and that's high praise in and of itself.

May 05, 2011 21:31 PM
 
Cardinals645

Wow, an update on all three guys traded for Adrian Gonzalez. Intentional, or fun coincidence?

May 05, 2011 11:59 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Didn't realize it until you said it.

May 05, 2011 21:30 PM
 
LynchMob

Eric Patterson is the forgotten #4 ... and he's been a bit hot lately himself :-)

May 06, 2011 07:43 AM
rating: 0
 
duck4169

Heard that Lamb's velocity was down yesterday - any word on that?

May 05, 2011 14:50 PM
rating: 0
 
dianagram

As a old-time Genesis fan, I so wish Lance Broadway was still playing, so I could potentially see this matchup.

May 06, 2011 07:33 AM
rating: 0
 
HankScorpio

Well, we have our answer on Hosmer. Yost just announced in postgame that he's being called up.

May 05, 2011 14:54 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

Yeah, I tweeted once I found out. Just a reminder, you're missing out on a portion of the KG experience if you are not doing the twitter thing. @kevin_goldstein.

May 05, 2011 21:32 PM
 
jackweiland

Lamb = excellent? Six innings, three walks, three strikeouts? Any reports on how his stuff looks?

May 06, 2011 08:24 AM
rating: 0
 
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