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April 1, 2011

Team Injury Projection

Los Angeles Angels

by Corey Dawkins and Marc Normandin

Team Injury Projections

The Team Injury Projections are here, driven by our brand new injury forecasting system, the Comprehensive Health Index [of] Pitchers [and] Players [with] Evaluative Results—or, more succinctly, CHIPPER. Thanks to work by Colin Wyers and Dan Turkenkopf and a database loaded with injuries dating back to the 2002 season—that's nearly 4,600 players and well over 400,000 days lost to injury—we now have a system that produces injury-risk assessments to three different degrees. CHIPPER projects ratings for players based on their injury history—these ratings measure the probability of a player missing one or more games, 15 or more games, or 30 or more games. CHIPPER will have additional features added to it throughout the spring and early season that will enhance the accuracy of our injury coverage.

These ratings are also available in the Player Forecast Manager (pfm.baseballprospectus.com), where they'll be sortable by league or position—you won’t have to wait for us to finish writing this series in order to see the health ratings for all of the players.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Team Audit | Depth Chart
 

Dashboard

2010 Recap
 
2010
 
2009
 
2008
 
2007
Finish here
36 entries
18 DL trips
               
1216
TDL
34
DMPI
 
1216
TDL
26th
 
34
DMPI
30th
 
934
TDL
13th
 
23
DMPI
18th
 
749
TDL
9th
 
14
DMPI
5th
 
1142
TDL
17th
 
23
DMPI
9th

Hitters in approximate Depth Charts order at time of publication

 
Days Lost to Injury
2011 Injury Risk
Player
Age
2008
2009
2010
1-day
15-days
30-days
Maicer Izturis
30
88
2
94
Red
Red
Red
Howie Kendrick
27
77
0
0
Yellow
Green
Green
Bobby Abreu
37
1
5
1
Yellow
Green
Green
Torii Hunter
35
5
42
2
Yellow
Yellow
Yellow
Kendrys Morales
28
0
0
127
Red
Red
Red
Vernon Wells
32
59
5
2
Yellow
Yellow
Green
Erick Aybar
27
48
4
21
Yellow
Yellow
Green
Jeff Mathis
28
3
5
58
Red
Red
Yellow
Peter Bourjos
24
0
0
0
Green
Green
Green
Brandon Wood
26
0
0
21
Yellow
Green
Green
Alberto Callaspo
28
56
2
9
Yellow
Green
Green
Mark Trumbo
25
0
0
0
Green
Green
Green
Bobby Wilson
28
0
0
24
Red
Red
Yellow
Hank Conger
23
0
0
0
Green
Green
Green

Pitchers in approximate Depth Charts order at time of publication

 
Days Lost to Injury
2011 Injury Risk
Player
Age
2008
2009
2010
1-day
15-days
30-days
Jered Weaver
28
11
0
0
Green
Green
Green
Dan Haren
30
4
0
0
Yellow
Green
Green
Ervin Santana
28
0
69
0
Yellow
Green
Green
Scott Kazmir
27
43
36
42
Yellow
Green
Green
Joel Pineiro
32
43
8
58
Red
Yellow
Yellow
Matt Palmer
32
0
0
118
Red
Red
Red
Fernando Rodney
34
78
0
0
Yellow
Yellow
Green
Scott Downs
35
26
61
0
Red
Yellow
Yellow
Kevin Jepsen
26
0
20
0
Green
Green
Green
Hisanori Takahashi
36
0
0
0
Yellow
Yellow
Green
Rich Thompson
26
0
0
23
Yellow
Green
Green
Jordan Walden
23
0
0
0
Green
Green
Green
Jason Bulger
32
0
7
81
Red
Yellow
Yellow
Michael Kohn
25
0
0
0
Green
Green
Green

Corey Dawkins is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Corey's other articles. You can contact Corey by clicking here

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<< Previous Article
Pre-Season Predictions (03/31)
<< Previous Column
Team Injury Projection... (03/31)
Next Column >>
Team Injury Projection... (04/01)
Next Article >>
Team Injury Projection... (04/01)

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