CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article On the Beat: The NL Wi... (11/16)
<< Previous Column
Analyze This: Hisashi ... (11/12)
Next Column >>
Analyze This: Tsuyoshi... (11/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article GM for a Day: Atlanta ... (11/16)

November 16, 2010

Analyze This

Dark Horse Free Agents: Joaquin Benoit

by Jesse Behr

After missing all of 2009 due to rotator cuff surgery, Joaquin Benoit made a triumphant return in 2010. The 32-year-old signed with the Rays as a minor-league free agent and by the end of April was back in the majors. Benoit became a key part of the Rays’ bullpen, setting up for closer Rafael Soriano and helping Tampa Bay to the American League East title. Here’s how Benoit’s 2010 campaign compared to his previous two seasons in Texas:

YR

G

IP

W-L

ERA

BB

SO

WXRL

VORP

2007

70

82.0

7-4

2.85

28

87

3.529

27.0

2008

44

45.0

3-2

5.00

35

43

-0.276

1.1

2010

63

60.1

1-2

1.34

11

75

3.063

25.6

That’s an astonishing 11.1 SO9 and 1.7 BB9 last season. Benoit’s VORP was third on Tampa Bay’s pitching staff and his WXRL eighth among American League relievers. Benoit is a three-pitch pitcher, primarily using his four-seam fastball: 

YR

FB% (MPH)

SL% (MPH)

CH% (MPH)

2007

58.6% (92.6)

19.7% (86.1)

20.7% (83.1)

2008

64.6% (91.7)

13.2% (86.1)

21.8% (83.2)

2010

65.0% (94.0)

12.6% (85.7)

22.5% (83.5)

Career avg.

63.1% (91.8)

16.1% (84.6)

17.9% (81.7)

After his shoulder surgery, Benoit’s fastball shot up by nearly 3 mph (the hardest he has ever thrown it), while his slider and change stayed consistent in the low-to-mid 80s. Benoit does not have closer-type stuff, but could still land a deal as a free agent similar to what Octavio Dotel got last season with the Pirates ($3.5 million for one year plus a club option). 

These are the teams that could use Benoit’s arm in their bullpen:

Team

ERA (rank)

WXRL (rank)

BOS

4.63 (22nd)

4.844 (25th)

CHA

4.39 (18th)

6.341 (20th)

DET

4.30 (24th)

6.280 (21st)

NYA

4.06 (15th)

8.182 (9th)

PHI

3.95 (6th)

7.523 (12th)

WAS

4.13 (19th)

6.570 (18th)

With the Rays set to cut their payroll drastically, Benoit likely won't be back with them. Add that the Red Sox have been heavily linked to Benoit. Now it’s your turn: where do you think Benoit will sign?

Jesse Behr is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jesse's other articles. You can contact Jesse by clicking here

Related Content:  Joaquin Benoit

13 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article On the Beat: The NL Wi... (11/16)
<< Previous Column
Analyze This: Hisashi ... (11/12)
Next Column >>
Analyze This: Tsuyoshi... (11/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article GM for a Day: Atlanta ... (11/16)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article The Call-Up: Jorge Soler
Premium Article What You Need to Know: August 27, 2014
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, Augus...
Fantasy Article Dynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect ...
Fantasy Article They Hold No Quarter: Third Basemen
Premium Article AFL 2014
The Lineup Card: Seven September Call Ups We...

MORE FROM NOVEMBER 16, 2010
Prospectus Perspective: The Rookies of the Y...
Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run: Marvin Miller and Pa...
Premium Article GM for a Day: Atlanta Braves
Premium Article Prospectus Q&A: J.C. Bradbury, Part I
Premium Article On the Beat: The NL Winter Agenda

MORE BY JESSE BEHR
2010-11-30 - Analyze This: Tsuyoshi Nishioka
2010-11-16 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Joaqui...
2010-11-12 - Analyze This: Hisashi Iwakuma
2010-11-09 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Jon Ga...
2010-11-07 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Jorge ...
More...

MORE ANALYZE THIS
2011-01-03 - Fantasy Article Analyze This: Hot Spots: First Base, Third B...
2010-12-22 - Fantasy Article Analyze This: Hot Spots: Outfield
2010-11-30 - Analyze This: Tsuyoshi Nishioka
2010-11-16 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Joaqui...
2010-11-12 - Analyze This: Hisashi Iwakuma
2010-11-09 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Jon Ga...
2010-11-07 - Analyze This: Dark Horse Free Agents: Jorge ...
More...