CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Contractual Matters: A... (09/27)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Future Shock: Top 11 R... (09/24)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Future Shock: Org Watc... (09/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run... (09/27)

September 27, 2010

Future Shock

Monday Ten Pack

by Kevin Goldstein

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

The minor league postseason is coming to an end. Here are 10 notable performances:

Darrell Ceciliani, OF, New York Mets (Short-season Brooklyn)

A fourth-round pick in 2009, Ceciliani kind of fell off the radar when he was held back for extended spring training, but he moved back into the spotlight with a dynamic .351/.410/.531 showing for the Cyclones during the regular season. A plus-plus runner with true center field skills, the 20-year-old Oregon native kept it up during the playoffs, going 9-for-19 with four walks and four stolen bases. His 2011 full-season debut is among the most anticipated in the system.

Michael Choice, OF, Oakland Athletics (Low-A Kane County)

The 10th overall pick in June, Choice's pro debut was more than impressive, as he slugged .284/.388/.627 for short-season Vancouver, mashing eight home runs in 102 at-bats; at the same time, he had a whopping 43 strikeouts across those same ABs. The good news for the Athletics is that they have had almost no major power at the major league level this season, so Choice will help out eventually. The bad news, obviously, is the Ks.

Matt Dominguez, 3B, Florida Marlins (Double-A Jacksonville)

Dominguez was Florida's first-round pick in 2007, the same year the Marlins found uber-rookie Mike Stanton in the second round. While the pair were teammates for most of their pro careers, Stanton burst into the majors this year, while Dominguez remained stuck at Double-A while hitting a so-so .252/.333/.411. After leading the Suns to the Southern League championship while slugging three home runs in eight games, many feel Dominguez is primed for a big 2011 that will have him eventually teaming with Stanton once again.

Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City Royals (Double-A Northwest Arkansas)

Few prospects in baseball took a bigger step forward in 2010 than Hosmer, the third overall pick in the 2008 draft who hit .338/.406/.571 across two levels. In just nine games for the Naturals, Hosmer pounded out six home runs while driving in 12, slugging .857 in the process. The one concern about first base prospects is that they have to project as middle-of-the-order run producers to even be legit, and many think Hosmer will greatly exceed that and land in the big leagues at some point next year.

Jared Hoying, OF, Texas Rangers (Short-season Spokane)

A 6-foot-3 outfielder with good raw power and at least average speed, Hoying has the athleticism to achieve more than most 10th-round picks, but everything about his game looks wrong thus far. Both his swing and his fielding have a considerable amount of funk to them. Still, he earned Northwest League MVP honors with a .325/.378/.543 line, and he reached base 12 times in five playoff games, going 7-for-16 with five walks. Like many young players, Hoying has a disturbing amount of swing-and-miss in his game, but the Rangers feel they might have found a diamond in the rough.

James Jones, OF, Seattle Mariners (Low-A Clinton)

Former Oriole Terry Crowley is the only player drafted out of Long Island University to reach the big leagues, but Jones has a shot at becoming the second. A fourth-round pick in 2009, Jones has the tools to rival nearly any player in the system. His .269/.355/.432 regular-season line showed a good approach, real power potential, plus speed—but an ability to look utterly foolish when exposed to quality breaking balls. Helping to lead the LumberKings to the Midwest League finals, Jones hit .356/.491/.600 in 11 post-season games, including three home runs and nine stolen bases, and he's exactly the kind of player who could put up some monstrous numbers at High-A High Desert in 2011.

Jason Kipnis, 2B, Cleveland Indians (Triple-A Columbus)

After batting .307/.386/.492 while spending the majority of his full-season debut season at Double-A Akron, Kipnis has generated more buzz than any player in the system. He accumulated 14 total bases in four playoff games, and while he played at DH in deference to incumbent second baseman Cord Phelps (who had a breakout year of his own), most think it will be Phelps deferring the big league second base job to Kipnis in the end.

Lance Lynn, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals (Triple-A Memphis)

In one playoff start, Lynn struck out 16 batters in seven innings. It's pretty remarkable—he has average velocity and had an ERA of over 4.50 this season in the minors. Many now think he could provide St. Louis with some much-needed rotational depth in 2011.

Justin Smoak, 1B, Seattle Mariners (Triple-A Tacoma)

After hitting just .163/.180/.244 in 22 games for the Mariners after arriving in the Cliff Lee deal, Smoak went back to Triple-A, stopped pressing and started hitting again. In eight playoff games for the Pacific Coast League champs, Smoak reached base an astounding 22 times, going 11-for-26 with 11 free passes. His power and patience are still big league-worthy, and Seattle hopes a fresh start in 2011 will be the key to his finally finding some success in the majors.

Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels (High-A Rancho Cucamonga)

Trout was the story of the minors in the first half, but he went from amazing to simply very good following a mid-season move to the California League. He hit .306/.388/.434 in 50 games for the Quakes. In the playoffs, he scored 12 runs in 11 games while hitting .367/.415/.653 with three home runs. He's a fascinating prospect who could develop in a number of directions over the next few years, but all of them end with him as a big league All-Star.

A version of this story originally appeared on ESPN Insider Insider.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

Related Content:  Jared Hoying

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Contractual Matters: A... (09/27)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Future Shock: Top 11 R... (09/24)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Future Shock: Org Watc... (09/30)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run... (09/27)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Joe Pa...
Premium Article An Agent's Take: The Losses You Never Get Ov...
Premium Article Raising Aces: Brandon Finnegan, the Debut An...
Premium Article Pitching Backward: First-Pitching to the Sit...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A T...
Pebble Hunting: The Best Teams Should Make T...
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Gi...

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 27, 2010
Premium Article Contractual Matters: A Bull Market For Bauti...
Premium Article Transaction Action: Dodgers, Padres, Giants
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Milwaukee Brewers
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Florida Marlins
Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Oakland Athletics
Premium Article On the Beat: Septembers To Remember For Some...
The Week in Quotes: September 20-26

MORE BY KEVIN GOLDSTEIN
2010-09-29 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Los Angeles Dodgers
2010-09-29 - BP Podcast: Episode 19: People From Sweden S...
2010-09-28 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Los Angeles Angels
2010-09-27 - Premium Article Future Shock: Monday Ten Pack
2010-09-27 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Milwaukee Brewers
2010-09-27 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Florida Marlins
2010-09-27 - Premium Article Kiss'Em Goodbye: Oakland Athletics
More...

MORE FUTURE SHOCK
2010-10-01 - Premium Article Future Shock: Top 11 Review: AL West
2010-09-30 - Premium Article Future Shock: Top 11 Review: AL East
2010-09-30 - Premium Article Future Shock: Org Watch: Nationals, Red Sox,...
2010-09-27 - Premium Article Future Shock: Monday Ten Pack
2010-09-24 - Premium Article Future Shock: Top 11 Review: AL Central
2010-09-22 - Premium Article Future Shock: Org Watch: Reds, Twins, Ranger...
2010-09-21 - Future Shock: Fun To Watch
More...