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May 14, 2010

One-Hoppers

Combined Hit List Rankings: May 14

by Jay Jaffe

With this week's National and American League Hit Lists posted on their regular schedule and me NOT on heavy painkilers (unlike last week, when I was out on a brief medical leave), here's this week's combined Hit List rankings, with the league adjustments we've discussed before. This marks the first week that the preseason PECOTA projections are not part of the LF computation; this is all based on results to date. Before you gripe about bias against your team, take a look at their run differential, and see here for a primer on the basics.

Rk   Team       Comments
 1   Rays        .697
 2   Yankees     .690
 3   Twins       .642
 4   Padres      .616
 5   Giants      .585
 6   Phillies    .575
 7   Tigers      .575
 8   Blue Jays   .571
 9   Cardinals   .570
10   Rangers     .565
11   Red Sox     .539
12   Rockies     .522
13   Athletics   .514
14   Braves      .498
15   Nationals   .488
16   Mets        .488
17   Dodgers     .487
18   Reds        .478
19   Marlins     .476
20   White Sox   .473
21   Cubs        .470
22   Brewers     .455
23   Mariners    .439
24   Indians     .430
25   Royals      .410
26   D'backs     .394
27   Angels      .392
28   Orioles     .387
29   Astros      .315
30   Pirates     .270

So we're down to four NL teams in the top 10, none of them above the Padres at number four. The not-so-mighty Cardinals, the fourth-ranked team in the last combo rankings, are much closer to falling out of that grouping, though there's just one other Senior Circuit team above .500 after the 21-point deduction. In the AL, the Blue Jays are the big gainer, up from #13 to #8, with the A's swapping spots, perfect game and all.

Jay Jaffe is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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