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January 22, 2014
by Jason Parks
Prospect rankings primer
Last year's Dodgers list
The Top Ten
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32 comments have been left for this article.
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I am sorry if this is the result of an accident or birth defect.
Is something wrong with Urias' left eye or was he just squinting or recovering from blackeye?
I'm not looking for pretty faces, I am concerned for a LHP with a left eye issue being able to hold runners.
I was just about to type a very similar comment when I saw yours. It looks swollen shut to me. But who knows maybe he was winking at the camera person.
If you look at the picture of him on the front page, it looks the same. Perhaps both pictures were taken around the same time?
Apparently he had a tumor removed from the eye as a child, which is why it looks like it does. When he signed with the Dodgers were rumors about him not being able to see well out of it, but they turned out to be false.
I don't have the link in front of me, but I've read that it is a birth defect where he has extra skin on his eyelid that causes it to droop.
Zachary Bird was a suprise top 10 on this list last year. He isn't even mentioned this time around. He was pretty terrible to start the year after an aggressive assignment to the MWL as an 18 year old but seemed to rebound nicely in the second half. Is he still a guy or just smoke and mirrors?
He's still promising. The system received a jolt from the J2 market and the 2013 draft, which pushed a fringe top ten prospect like Bird out of the running this year.
Is the difference between the listed height and actual height of Urias a sign that he is still growing? What is the concern, mechanics-wise, if he adds even more height through his teenage years?
His listed height/weight has been the same since he signed. It just hasn't been updated by the team yet. But I was told by the team that he is probably closer to 6'1'' than his listed height of 5'11''.
I don't see a lot of remaining projection in his body. In fact, he might have to watch his weight going forward because he isn't exactly a fast-twitch athlete and Mexican players don't have the best reputation in that regard. But he should be fine, mechanically speaking. As with any young arm, he will need to add strength without losing his fluidity and balance, but Urias is pretty smooth on the mound and the arm is loose and easy. Even with some additional growth, I don't see much of a problem. The only issue I can see (long term) is the body escaping him, but I doubt anybody involved lets that happen.
Great stuff, Mr. Parks. Arano at 10 really surprised me. The depth in the system isn't great, so why not have a high-upside, relatively unknown fella there?
For my own curiosity: Did you hear anything about Bryan Munoz in your research?
Yes; I had several reports on that loaded AZL team. Lots of arms in that crew, with Munoz, Arano, Victor Gonzalez, and William Soto. That AZL squad was loaded with loose-armed pitchers with good fastballs. Almost across the board, the secondary stuff was underdeveloped and raw (not surprising given the age and level), but you have to like the projection in the arm and the ease in which the fastballs are delivered. Dodgers fans should be very excited about the recent crop of J2 talent that pitched stateside. That's a group that could eventually make a very big mark on prospect lists in the coming years.
Great stuff. Thanks much, Jason.
Forgive my ignorance, but what is "J2 talent?" I'm guessing international amateurs, but don't want to assume.
You are correct. It comes from the fact that July 2nd is the first day of the year teams can sign players that are at least 16 years old.
July 2nd; international signing window
When Julio Urias was born, I was Julio Urias's age...
When Julio Urias was born, the movie Escape from LA was released.
He was, however, born before "The Big Lebowski" was released, so he's not THAT young.
From his photo, it looks like Joc Pederson has some 65 eyebrows. That should be listed in the tools.
Joc has great eyebrows, to be sure... But in an organization that once employed Wally Moon, I don't see how they could be rated above a 55.
Before his 19th birthday... Wow. Do we know the last time a pitcher made it to the bigs(or ANY player) before their 19th birthday? I can't recall in recent memory, even super prospects like ARod/Trout/Harper seemed to be closer to 20/21 from my memory.
Great stuff fellas.
Baseball reference has a list of youngest players in each league, year by year. The last 18 year old in MLB was A-Rod in 1994. The last 18 year old pitcher in MLB was Tim Conroy in 1978 (after 4.2 innings, he didn't make it back to the bigs until 1982). The last 18 year old in the National League was Brian Greer in 1977. His major league career consisted of 4 plate appearances. The last 18 year old pitcher in the National League Jay Franklin in 1971. He pitched in 1 game at the Major League level.
Is Matt Magill still a prospect?
Just not a big believer in "Left Eye" Julio. That said, Prof Parks has forgotten more about prospects than I'll likely ever learn. Only time will tell...
Slagging someone for the result of a childhood ailment, very classy. Did you stumble over here from Bleacher Report or something?
Is there a reason why you excluded Alex Guerrero? Where would he have slotted on the list if included?
It's in the article.
To absolutely pimp Urias like you did (early) and then see K Law even pimp him further makes me #happy. Up until last year I had coached HS ball in SoCal (CIF SS D2) & saw Giolito, Rio Ruiz,Taijuan Walker, Glasnow (vs. our Soph who got 200K from the BoSox eventually last year - beat us 2-1 in the Easton tournament to open the year in 2011) also saw Lovegrove end our year in the playoffs that year...anyways to see what Urias is doing in full season ball against men, when he's the age of a Jr. in HS just blows my mind - and I've seen some of the best...just unreal
Jose Dominguez came up with fanfare and what was supposedly a three-digit fastball, but no mention of him here. Serious prospect or just hype?
Sorry, was scanning the top 10 and the On the Rise and Factors on the Farm lists and didn't see him among those 16, so I assumed he wasn't worth a nod. Didn't check the under-25 list until later, where he's mentioned.
Strange that he's one of the org's top 10 under 25 but somehow not one of its top 10 prospects.
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