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January 8, 2014
by Jason Parks
Prospect rankings primer
Last year's Rockies list
The Top Ten
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33 comments have been left for this article.
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There's probably a Story behind the use of 'except' for 'accept'.
Dickerson, who seemingly has a chance to be a platoon player or maybe more this year doesn't qualify as a Top 10 prospect?
Glad we're into the NL finally!
Thanks for pointing out a casual error.
"Dickerson, who seemingly has a chance to be a platoon player or maybe more this year doesn't qualify as a Top 10 prospect?"
He doesn't qualify as a prospect. 194 major league at-bats; more than 45 days on an active roster.
Where can you find information on how many days a rookie has spent on the active roster?
For Rockies fans, check out www.rockiesroster.com for a database that tracks all of the service time information.
You say Tapia could be worth a reasonably high pick alongside 2013 draftees, but how high? Top 20? Top 10? Where would you slot him amongst some of the preps, like Frazier, Meadows, Stewart, Harvey, Crawford, and Smith?
On the upside alone, I'd take him over most of those guys. He's behind Frazier and Stewart for me, but in the Harvey/Smith range. I could certainly see the case for taking him over either of them, and I probably would myself.
So basically you could slot him anywhere after the top 7 (Tanaka, Abreu, Appel, Gray, Bryant, Stewart, Frazier)?
Thoughts on Erick Julio, please. Thank you.
I know several amateur (LA) scouts that loved this kid pre-J2, but their teams didn't have the pool money to spend on him. Athletic and projectable; good present pitchability; good reports on the hammer; can throw three pitches for strikes. Have to wait and see how the arsenal looks with added strength and instruction, but he's a legit arm in this system and should be on the radar soon.
Personally, I'd take Butler over Gray without hesitating. That guy is going to be a beast real soon. He reminds me of the good version of Ubaldo Jimenez with the awkward delivery and every pitch just darting in different directions. That's a tough AB right there.
With Butler seeing more time in professional ball that's easy to say, I'd wait and see mid-year, I bet Gray rises quickly.
You've got Murphy as a lefty hitter. My recollection (and baseball-ref!) has him as a RHH.
He's definitely a right-handed hitter.
was arenado's defense, last year, really that much better than expected? and if so was it flukey or has he now entrenched himself as a legit third base defender?
I was shocked to see the fielding bible put him 2nd to machado (and by a lot less than one would assume) at 3B
Coming through the minors, Arenado's bat was his primary plus tool. Defense was characterized as adequate, such that he could stick at 3B, but not the strength that showed up last season with the Rockies.
And believe me, watching him ranging, pickimg wicked one-hoppers and delivering strong, accurate throws all season, his 2013 defensive props were well-deserved.
It's amazing how players' fortunes change. 2 years ago, Herrera was a sleeper while Story seemed to be a solid prospect. Then Story shot up the lists after 2012 with Herrera seeming to take a step back and now Herrera finds himself well above Story on this list after what happened last season.
Despite his placement on the list, in a pref list situation, I'd still go with Story over Herrera. Story's bat might play drag his profile down, but I prefer his defensive skills over Herrera. Snapshots, though. The player development process ebbs and flows, and the corresponding rankings will follow that pattern as a result. Story could be back in the top five by summer.
Regarding Tapia, 6'2" and only 160 lbs and almost 20 years old - How much projection physically does he have? The ht/wt make me assume there is probably substantial projection there but that's not always case. Is the 6 power projection based on hit tool and physical projection or is primarily a function of the 7 potential hit tool? thanks
I think he weighs more than 160. Unfortunately, most listed height/weight for prospects are inaccurate, as they are supplied in camp by most teams, and can often look curious 10 months later. That said, Tapia still has room to mature (physically) and has a frame to add more strength/muscle.
It might be unfair at this point, but Tapia sounds a lot like a young Taveras, no?
Its fair. With more athleticism and little less offensive projection.
Ultimate upside, how would you rank Cole and Walker vs Gray, disregarding park factors, but taking into account things like coaching staff? Is Cole the guy most likely to become the next Verlander or am I insane?
I like the aggressive placement of Tapia. I also like the mention of Raul Fernandez who could certainly move through the system fast, maybe even hit Denver late in the year.
One small thing though - Jordan Patterson is listed as a RHP instead of RF in the On The Rise section.
Good catch. Definitely a RF (and a lefty with a very strong arm and some history on the mound).
How does Dahl compare to Meadows with the Pirates? Similar players?
Dahl has a much better bat, in my opinion, with a better chance of staying up the middle. My guess is that Meadows turns into a bat-first LF type, whereas Dahl has a bigger arm, better run, and in my opinion, more bat speed/better swing.
You can make a case that Meadows--in the snapshot--is a better prospect right now, especially with Dahl losing a season to injury. But it won't take long for Dahl to surpass Meadows in the prospect world.
Who do you like better Dahl or Almora? Great list and information as always.
Did Will Swanner merit consideration or does he look like a tweener (catcher bat, 1B/DH glove) at this point?
Jason, love the presentation (writing or audio) of your knowledge on prospects/players. Easy to put together and no fluff. Seriously the best stuff I've read or listened to anywhere. I'd easily pay 100 bucks a year for just your content.
Very cool. I appreciate the comment. Thanks!
I agree but don't tell them that $100 stuff! :)
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